{"source":"manifold","id":"56gymfk8ma","ticker":null,"slug":"will-ssi-ilyas-company-offer-a-prod","title":"Will SSI (Ilya's company) offer a product before someone creates ASI?","description":"Resolves YES if Ilya's company offers ANY commercial or free product, of any kind, in violation of their mission statement not to do so, OR if their company merges with or is sold to a company that offers a product.\n\nResolves NO if artificial superintelligence is created or comes to be, anywhere, in any way. \n\nResolves NO if Ilya's company folds such that it clearly will never be part of another company or release a product. ","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-19T19:34:38.564000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5090.227766527501,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.348081588745117,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.597758,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will SSI (Ilya's company) offer a product before someone creates ASI?","top_outcome_probability":0.597758,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-ssi-ilyas-company-offer-a-prod","chart_24h":[0.597758,0.597758],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"56gymfk8ma","event_id":"56gymfk8ma","slug":"will-ssi-ilyas-company-offer-a-prod","question":"Will SSI (Ilya's company) offer a product before someone creates ASI?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves YES if Ilya's company offers ANY commercial or free product, of any kind, in violation of their mission statement not to do so, OR if their company merges with or is sold to a company that offers a product.\n\nResolves NO if artificial superintelligence is created or comes to be, anywhere, in any way. \n\nResolves NO if Ilya's company folds such that it clearly will never be part of another company or release a product. ","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.597758,0.402242],"probability":0.597758,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-19T19:34:38.564000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5090.227766527501,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.348081588745117,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.281893Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-ssi-ilyas-company-offer-a-prod","event_title":"Will SSI (Ilya's company) offer a product before someone creates ASI?","chart_24h":[0.597758,0.597758]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/56gymfk8ma","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:37:18.817148Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will SSI (Ilya's company) offer a product before someone creates ASI?\" — top market at 60% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}