{"source":"manifold","id":"58y0zPQzqZ","ticker":null,"slug":"us-buys-greenland-by-2026","title":"US buys Greenland in 2026?","description":"Resolution Criteria:\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States officially completes the purchase or annexation of Greenland by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PST.\n\nConditions for Resolution:\n\n• The resolution will be based on an official announcement from the U.S. government or the government of Denmark/Greenland confirming the transfer of sovereignty or sale of Greenland to the United States.\n\n• The agreement must include explicit language of transfer, sale, or annexation of territory.\n\nExclusions:\n\n• Military agreements, economic partnerships, or temporary leasing arrangements will not qualify.\n\n• Partial purchases or acquisition of limited land for military bases will not count.\n\nPrimary Sources:\n\n• Official government announcements from the U.S., Denmark, or Greenland.\n\n• Credible reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Reuters, AP, BBC).\n\nIf no such announcement occurs by the end of the timeframe, the market will resolve to “No.”","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/predyx_markets/qyE69QqA9C.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-25T04:02:45.032000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":61010.75240718851,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":45.57872772216797,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.044045,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"US buys Greenland in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.044045,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/us-buys-greenland-by-2026","chart_24h":[0.044045,0.044045],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"58y0zPQzqZ","event_id":"58y0zPQzqZ","slug":"us-buys-greenland-by-2026","question":"US buys Greenland in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolution Criteria:\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States officially completes the purchase or annexation of Greenland by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PST.\n\nConditions for Resolution:\n\n• The resolution will be based on an official announcement from the U.S. government or the government of Denmark/Greenland confirming the transfer of sovereignty or sale of Greenland to the United States.\n\n• The agreement must include explicit language of transfer, sale, or annexation of territory.\n\nExclusions:\n\n• Military agreements, economic partnerships, or temporary leasing arrangements will not qualify.\n\n• Partial purchases or acquisition of limited land for military bases will not count.\n\nPrimary Sources:\n\n• Official government announcements from the U.S., Denmark, or Greenland.\n\n• Credible reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Reuters, AP, BBC).\n\nIf no such announcement occurs by the end of the timeframe, the market will resolve to “No.”","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/predyx_markets/qyE69QqA9C.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.044045,0.955955],"probability":0.044045,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-25T04:02:45.032000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":61010.75240718851,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":45.57872772216797,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Denmark"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T12:54:46.636062Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-22T21:05:09.473623Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/us-buys-greenland-by-2026","event_title":"US buys Greenland in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.044045,0.044045]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/58y0zPQzqZ","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:28:02.162027Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"US buys Greenland in 2026?\" — top market at 4% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}