{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/5LtLNttSRq","as_of":"2026-10-14T09:51:13.920944Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter\" — 182 markets; highest \"The shooter is a member of domain Eukarya\" at 100% as of 2026-09-28 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/5LtLNttSRq","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo"},"source":"manifold","id":"5LtLNttSRq","ticker":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":"whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","description":"Update 2025-09-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If it's ambiguous whether the shooter is male, this market will resolve to N/A.\n\nUpdate 2025-09-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For Acted alone (no accomplices): any accomplice associated with the shooting counts, including after-the-fact assistance (e.g., destroying evidence). If any such accomplice exists, this answer will not resolve as true.\n\nUpdate 2025-10-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - A conviction or guilty plea in court would be sufficient evidence to resolve answers about the shooter's identity\n\nDirect evidence would be sufficient\n\nCircumstantial evidence or evidence described as \"seemingly\" implicating someone would not be sufficient to resolve\n\nUpdate 2025-12-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will resolve in the case of a guilty plea (in addition to a conviction in court)","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-10T22:03:49.356000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":144996.90777762566,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":51.972206115722656,"liquidity":4650.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["assassinations","charlie-kirk","us-politics","charlie-kirk-shooter"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"The shooter is a member of domain Eukarya","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-28T20:12:50.321692Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T20:12:50.321692Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":182,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"A66uI6zdtU","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"The shooter is a member of domain Eukarya","group_item_title":"The shooter is a member of domain Eukarya","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-18T20:34:11.988000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":634.7887981227425,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.331537246704102,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"PRsqu9gdZt","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Did it on purpose","group_item_title":"Did it on purpose","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T16:11:27.378000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":73.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.816616058349609,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"cA6dpLOuQE","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"The shooter killed Charlie Kirk","group_item_title":"The shooter killed Charlie Kirk","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T01:31:53.215000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":23.25017784156305,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.7407896518707275,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"lNS0uqtn8d","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"The shooter is not a extraterrestrial alien","group_item_title":"The shooter is not a extraterrestrial alien","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-18T20:36:54.992000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":445.0068090741486,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.693625450134277,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"QqZnzRd0NU","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"The shooter is alive when this market hits 100 traders","group_item_title":"The shooter is alive when this market hits 100 traders","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.998586,0.001414],"probability":0.998586,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T01:59:38.248000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":189.522028054779,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.141246795654297,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586,0.998586]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ZN950q0nOO","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Resided in the same state as the incident","group_item_title":"Resided in the same state as the incident","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.997426,0.002574],"probability":0.997426,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-10T22:03:49.356000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":123.13807977039794,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.553749084472656,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426,0.997426]},{"source":"manifold","id":"IE9nS0yIcq","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Firearm used was otherwise lawfully owned under federal and state law","group_item_title":"Firearm used was otherwise lawfully owned under federal and state law","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.991034,0.008966],"probability":0.991034,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T02:30:09.210000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":68.92424552686143,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.638348579406738,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034,0.991034]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ONshdgLp8E","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Has a Reddit, Xitter, or Facebook account","group_item_title":"Has a Reddit, Xitter, or Facebook account","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.990078,0.009922],"probability":0.990078,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T21:44:06.097000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":13.345199422673932,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.6102912425994873,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078,0.990078]},{"source":"manifold","id":"gUAQE0ptCs","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"has at least one sibling","group_item_title":"has at least one sibling","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.01],"probability":0.99,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T17:07:40.120000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":18.232173402886446,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.2165610790252686,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"manifold","id":"psIPOcl20S","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"n/a","group_item_title":"n/a","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.01],"probability":0.99,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-14T07:46:23.126000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":273.8121715302356,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.605903625488281,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"manifold","id":"slEyp00y28","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"at least ten questions in this market resolve YES (excluding questions about other question's resolutions) (excluding N/A)","group_item_title":"at least ten questions in this market resolve YES (excluding questions about other question's resolutions) (excluding N/A)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.01],"probability":0.99,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T17:12:17.470000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ISUz0szdI6","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"“Extremely Online” (market owner’s subjective judgment)","group_item_title":"“Extremely Online” (market owner’s subjective judgment)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.988976,0.011024],"probability":0.988976,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-12T16:13:06.836000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":151.59442103200504,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.301742553710938,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976,0.988976]},{"source":"manifold","id":"NANuLnN8ps","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Will the shooter of Charlie Kirk be apprehended alive by the end of September?","group_item_title":"Will the shooter of Charlie Kirk be apprehended alive by the end of September?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.988454,0.011546],"probability":0.988454,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T00:23:37.053000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":17.84536276948624,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.172504425048828,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454,0.988454]},{"source":"manifold","id":"lPN9ql5pdt","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Native English speaker (L1)","group_item_title":"Native English speaker (L1)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.9884,0.0116],"probability":0.9884,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T02:52:05.429000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":38.08175688496734,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.944410800933838,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884,0.9884]},{"source":"manifold","id":"nQsEUnlLln","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Is a registered voter","group_item_title":"Is a registered voter","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.988384,0.011616],"probability":0.988384,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T07:11:10.794000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":83.5242303164552,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.244318008422852,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384,0.988384]},{"source":"manifold","id":"PpPuqQg5h2","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Born in the United States","group_item_title":"Born in the United States","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.98617,0.01383],"probability":0.98617,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T01:48:20.261000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":36.91911366160316,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.863274574279785,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617,0.98617]},{"source":"manifold","id":"gdP2OIg6Qd","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"White","group_item_title":"White","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.984464,0.015536],"probability":0.984464,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T01:47:11.851000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":166.73720287249185,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.65512466430664,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464,0.984464]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Q6c5dZCRAQ","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"US citizen","group_item_title":"US citizen","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.02],"probability":0.98,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-10T22:03:49.356000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":50.73013298040995,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.72973108291626,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"manifold","id":"NgAhO5gIcR","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"wrote reference to furry culture on bullet casing","group_item_title":"wrote reference to furry culture on bullet casing","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.978376,0.021624],"probability":0.978376,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-15T18:06:00.231000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":151.8388818856358,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.307666778564453,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376,0.978376]},{"source":"manifold","id":"nZ9QycQR6E","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"used a bolt action rifle","group_item_title":"used a bolt action rifle","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.976651,0.023349],"probability":0.976651,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T15:14:35.390000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":75.19891107456856,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.9096832275390625,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651,0.976651]},{"source":"manifold","id":"2Z0znLcSy9","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Is the same person the FBI identified as the “person of interest”","group_item_title":"Is the same person the FBI identified as the “person of interest”","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.975602,0.024398],"probability":0.975602,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T20:13:57.004000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":76.1826037834456,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.950649738311768,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602,0.975602]},{"source":"manifold","id":"hIUhCp992q","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Current or former LDS Church (mainline Mormon) member","group_item_title":"Current or former LDS Church (mainline Mormon) member","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.974267,0.025733],"probability":0.974267,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T02:24:11.211000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":275.64923970990094,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.63345718383789,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267,0.974267]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ytOnN9AUzp","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"had fired a weapon at least once in their life before shooting Charlie Kirk","group_item_title":"had fired a weapon at least once in their life before shooting Charlie Kirk","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.971595,0.028405],"probability":0.971595,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-12T02:09:12.579000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":102.99202264532573,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.936963081359863,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595,0.971595]},{"source":"manifold","id":"y5AAA9QNIn","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Male","group_item_title":"Male","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.97,0.03],"probability":0.97,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-10T22:03:49.356000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":222.69549225656922,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.770889282226562,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97]},{"source":"manifold","id":"I9A9Qc6Z5L","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"20-27 years old","group_item_title":"20-27 years old","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.964938,0.035062],"probability":0.964938,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T12:12:08.557000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":252.491425913971,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.274523735046387,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938,0.964938]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ORzZPys8ZN","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"JD Vance alludes to his sexual deviancy","group_item_title":"JD Vance alludes to his sexual deviancy","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.959056,0.040944],"probability":0.959056,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-18T14:36:12.515000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":633.2490212918923,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.32002067565918,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056,0.959056]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Qun9uznPZu","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Skinny","group_item_title":"Skinny","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.952736,0.047264],"probability":0.952736,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T16:27:50.397000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":349.8252922574144,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.637149810791016,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736,0.952736]},{"source":"manifold","id":"CpAppAySCy","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Turns themselves in to the police / FBI","group_item_title":"Turns themselves in to the police / FBI","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.94,0.06],"probability":0.94,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T01:57:01.893000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1629.0420505932059,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.13016700744629,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5IqCZpslhQ","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"He killed Kirk to stop the spread of hatred. ","group_item_title":"He killed Kirk to stop the spread of hatred. ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.934728,0.065272],"probability":0.934728,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-18T05:07:49.040000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":184.63099287289955,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.041017532348633,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728,0.934728]},{"source":"manifold","id":"P8uREhg2OO","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Lives (or has lived) in Utah","group_item_title":"Lives (or has lived) in Utah","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.931577,0.068423],"probability":0.931577,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T01:51:53.727000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":163.9320828119898,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.591653823852539,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577,0.931577]},{"source":"manifold","id":"CuE0dsOOO8","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"ectomorph body type","group_item_title":"ectomorph body type","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.926264,0.073736],"probability":0.926264,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T16:28:56.221000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":63.18808792693978,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.3734893798828125,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264,0.926264]},{"source":"manifold","id":"UEldqNUcqq","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Owns steam profile 76561198159427286","group_item_title":"Owns steam profile 76561198159427286","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.08],"probability":0.92,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-15T19:04:52.055000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":221.12381708291338,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.742834091186523,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92]},{"source":"manifold","id":"LhggE5tON5","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Will plead guilty","group_item_title":"Will plead guilty","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.896281,0.103719],"probability":0.896281,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-14T21:07:57.895000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":112.53523433784625,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.239890098571777,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281,0.896281]},{"source":"manifold","id":"uUuOzpc0Ad","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"at least a quarter of the questions in this market resolve YES (excluding questions about other question's resolutions) (excluding N/A)","group_item_title":"at least a quarter of the questions in this market resolve YES (excluding questions about other question's resolutions) (excluding N/A)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.11],"probability":0.89,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T17:11:12.567000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":123.6578802223045,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.568582534790039,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89]},{"source":"manifold","id":"6ERZnphRZy","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Acted alone (no accomplices)","group_item_title":"Acted alone (no accomplices)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.863252,0.136748],"probability":0.863252,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-10T22:03:49.356000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":559.6004631659712,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.739492416381836,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252,0.863252]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ARcscstpCh","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"has purchased furry-related media or items","group_item_title":"has purchased furry-related media or items","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.859945,0.140055],"probability":0.859945,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-15T16:26:38.656000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":264.12556079981044,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.458064079284668,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945,0.859945]},{"source":"manifold","id":"dULy2ushuC","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Accident please N/A","group_item_title":"Accident please N/A","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.856527,0.143473],"probability":0.856527,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-12T23:49:47.617000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.17679178714752197,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527,0.856527]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Lghg2g5zZl","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Furry","group_item_title":"Furry","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.854641,0.145359],"probability":0.854641,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-10T23:05:44.777000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":916.2603558660476,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.122102737426758,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641,0.854641]},{"source":"manifold","id":"lpzS55st29","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Gamer","group_item_title":"Gamer","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.849643,0.150357],"probability":0.849643,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-12T14:39:29.329000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":418.98271277462425,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.425045013427734,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643,0.849643]},{"source":"manifold","id":"zNntIdt908","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Is named Tyler Robinson ","group_item_title":"Is named Tyler Robinson ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.820941,0.179059],"probability":0.820941,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-12T14:39:41.578000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":291.8685531216654,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.870407104492188,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941,0.820941]},{"source":"manifold","id":"OpdLOg5cA6","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Motivated primarily by political ideology","group_item_title":"Motivated primarily by political ideology","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.81925,0.18075],"probability":0.81925,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-10T22:03:49.356000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":138.66673100195533,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.977073669433594,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925,0.81925]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0pPh6qOEAQ","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Hunter","group_item_title":"Hunter","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.81,0.19],"probability":0.81,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T17:07:38.039000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":169.1418507103543,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.708858489990234,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Sz2ccRU2zA","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"iphone user","group_item_title":"iphone user","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.806136,0.193864],"probability":0.806136,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T19:42:34.546000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2.3265020807481527,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.5315734148025513,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136,0.806136]},{"source":"manifold","id":"6h20tcn86p","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"has expressed positive sentiment towards furries","group_item_title":"has expressed positive sentiment towards furries","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.804676,0.195324],"probability":0.804676,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-15T16:25:31.569000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":142.96873049013317,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.087687492370605,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676,0.804676]},{"source":"manifold","id":"yPSh9nqU2q","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"disliked Charlie Kirk","group_item_title":"disliked Charlie Kirk","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.78446,0.21554],"probability":0.78446,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-12T02:09:40.957000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":310.99434917363783,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.136306762695312,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446,0.78446]},{"source":"manifold","id":"EOlgp6lN6d","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Dead, as of October 10th (or earlier)","group_item_title":"Dead, as of October 10th (or earlier)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.775368,0.224632],"probability":0.775368,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T02:01:02.188000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":575.398211304702,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.869216918945312,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368,0.775368]},{"source":"manifold","id":"llQzdUqZhS","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Unemployed","group_item_title":"Unemployed","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.74,0.26],"probability":0.74,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T18:05:55.390000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":59.93797552739856,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.215334415435791,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74]},{"source":"manifold","id":"LUL6LQnZ8s","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Inconsistent, incoherent, or idiosyncratic political ideology","group_item_title":"Inconsistent, incoherent, or idiosyncratic political ideology","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.737717,0.262283],"probability":0.737717,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-11T02:17:35.679000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":370.24505271387443,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.882320404052734,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717,0.737717]},{"source":"manifold","id":"6AC6EdZhp0","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"Is left wing","group_item_title":"Is left wing","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.711371,0.288629],"probability":0.711371,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-13T01:42:23.783000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":321.22181477365706,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.273015022277832,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371,0.711371]},{"source":"manifold","id":"nOE5Z9zRdO","event_id":"5LtLNttSRq","slug":null,"question":"is/was in a sexual relationship with a transwoman","group_item_title":"is/was in a sexual relationship with a transwoman","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.71,0.29],"probability":0.71,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-16T20:26:51.655000Z","end_date":"2026-12-10T22:57:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":441.0815517889474,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.65396785736084,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T09:39:17.905680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T09:37:57.121452Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/vdb/whats-true-about-charlie-kirks-shoo","event_title":"What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter","chart_24h":[0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71]}]}