{"source":"manifold","id":"5Y59hNlaYhNNA4PGaTD2","ticker":null,"slug":"will-putin-still-be-in-power-by-the","title":"Will Putin still be in power by the end of 2026?","description":"Resolves YES if Vladimir Putin is still in power at 11:59 PM on December 31st, 2026.\n\nResolves NO if Vladimir Putin is:\n\n1- Deposed via coup or loses re-election.\n\n2- De facto out of power due to illness, injury, or other extraordinary circumstances, being replaced by an Acting President.\n\n3- Putin dies, regardless of cause of death.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-20T18:26:42.119000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":38134.444363113624,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":41.151302337646484,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.953748,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Putin still be in power by the end of 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.953748,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-18T03:57:50.328845Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T03:57:50.328845Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NADZOR/will-putin-still-be-in-power-by-the","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"5Y59hNlaYhNNA4PGaTD2","event_id":"5Y59hNlaYhNNA4PGaTD2","slug":"will-putin-still-be-in-power-by-the","question":"Will Putin still be in power by the end of 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves YES if Vladimir Putin is still in power at 11:59 PM on December 31st, 2026.\n\nResolves NO if Vladimir Putin is:\n\n1- Deposed via coup or loses re-election.\n\n2- De facto out of power due to illness, injury, or other extraordinary circumstances, being replaced by an Acting President.\n\n3- Putin dies, regardless of cause of death.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.953748,0.046252],"probability":0.953748,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-20T18:26:42.119000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":38134.444363113624,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":41.151302337646484,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-09-18T03:56:00.057747Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-18T03:56:00.057747Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NADZOR/will-putin-still-be-in-power-by-the","event_title":"Will Putin still be in power by the end of 2026?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/5Y59hNlaYhNNA4PGaTD2","as_of":"2026-09-23T21:21:32.467018Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Putin still be in power by the end of 2026?\" — top market at 95% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}