{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/5x5giqjoaVbFtv8ob1FJ","as_of":"2026-11-07T14:18:39.353205Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"In the next five years, will Nvidia's stock drop by 30% from its price at market close on 3/7/24?\" — 20% as of 2026-11-06 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/5x5giqjoaVbFtv8ob1FJ","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/VerySeriousPoster/is-nvidia-a-bubble"},"source":"manifold","id":"5x5giqjoaVbFtv8ob1FJ","ticker":null,"slug":"is-nvidia-a-bubble","title":"In the next five years, will Nvidia's stock drop by 30% from its price at market close on 3/7/24?","description":"Previously titled \"Is Nvidia a Bubble?\" \n\nThis market resolves Yes if NVDA at any point in the next five years drops below 70% of its current valuation. As of posting (before the market opens on 3/8/24) its price is sitting at $926.69. For rounding purposes, I'll define below 70% as below $650. If it trades below this level before 3/8/29 this market resolves Yes.\n\nStock splits will not affect this. In the case that NVDA splits its price I will adjust the market criteria to reflect the price that represents the 70% valuation.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-08T13:23:46.909000Z","end_date":"2029-03-09T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11462.9434535978,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":32.115421295166016,"liquidity":1105.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.196637,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"In the next five years, will Nvidia's stock drop by 30% from its price at market close on 3/7/24?","top_outcome_probability":0.196637,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-11-06T18:38:29.445343Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-06T18:38:29.445343Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/VerySeriousPoster/is-nvidia-a-bubble","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"5x5giqjoaVbFtv8ob1FJ","event_id":"5x5giqjoaVbFtv8ob1FJ","slug":"is-nvidia-a-bubble","question":"In the next five years, will Nvidia's stock drop by 30% from its price at market close on 3/7/24?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Previously titled \"Is Nvidia a Bubble?\" \n\nThis market resolves Yes if NVDA at any point in the next five years drops below 70% of its current valuation. As of posting (before the market opens on 3/8/24) its price is sitting at $926.69. For rounding purposes, I'll define below 70% as below $650. If it trades below this level before 3/8/29 this market resolves Yes.\n\nStock splits will not affect this. In the case that NVDA splits its price I will adjust the market criteria to reflect the price that represents the 70% valuation.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.196637,0.803363],"probability":0.196637,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-08T13:23:46.909000Z","end_date":"2029-03-09T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":11462.9434535978,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":32.115421295166016,"liquidity":1105.0,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-06T18:36:44.401951Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-06T18:36:44.401951Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/VerySeriousPoster/is-nvidia-a-bubble","event_title":"In the next five years, will Nvidia's stock drop by 30% from its price at market close on 3/7/24?","chart_24h":null}]}