{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/60BylDPuPbhXDmY82jgw","as_of":"2026-10-24T08:02:43.464730Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will AOH1996 succeed in Phase I trial?\" — 68% as of 2026-10-06 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/60BylDPuPbhXDmY82jgw","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/PanosFilianos/will-aoh1996-succeed-in-phase-i-tri"},"source":"manifold","id":"60BylDPuPbhXDmY82jgw","ticker":null,"slug":"will-aoh1996-succeed-in-phase-i-tri","title":"Will AOH1996 succeed in Phase I trial?","description":"This market concerns AOH1996, a cancer therapeutic reported in this paper.\n\nIt is currently in Phase I trial.\n\nThis market resolves to YES, if a Phase II trial is submitted and starts for any type of cancer.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-03T06:20:18.329000Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T21:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11996.525534387818,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":32.44771194458008,"liquidity":1625.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.68002,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will AOH1996 succeed in Phase I trial?","top_outcome_probability":0.68002,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-06T00:17:27.265185Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T00:17:27.265185Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/PanosFilianos/will-aoh1996-succeed-in-phase-i-tri","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"60BylDPuPbhXDmY82jgw","event_id":"60BylDPuPbhXDmY82jgw","slug":"will-aoh1996-succeed-in-phase-i-tri","question":"Will AOH1996 succeed in Phase I trial?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market concerns AOH1996, a cancer therapeutic reported in this paper.\n\nIt is currently in Phase I trial.\n\nThis market resolves to YES, if a Phase II trial is submitted and starts for any type of cancer.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.68002,0.31998],"probability":0.68002,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-03T06:20:18.329000Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T21:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":11996.525534387818,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":32.44771194458008,"liquidity":1625.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T00:14:45.989608Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T00:14:45.989608Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/PanosFilianos/will-aoh1996-succeed-in-phase-i-tri","event_title":"Will AOH1996 succeed in Phase I trial?","chart_24h":null}]}