{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/63LGVKNrgMhPAr1NSiBO","as_of":"2026-10-24T11:00:41.331723Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030?\" — 99% as of 2026-10-06 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/63LGVKNrgMhPAr1NSiBO","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/Supermaxman/will-the-navierstokes-equations-be"},"source":"manifold","id":"63LGVKNrgMhPAr1NSiBO","ticker":null,"slug":"will-the-navierstokes-equations-be","title":"Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030?","description":"as per the Clay Mathematics Institute:\n\nProve or give a counter-example of the following statement:\n\nIn three space dimensions and time, given an initial velocity field, there exists a vector velocity and a scalar pressure field, which are both smooth and globally defined, that solve the Navier–Stokes equations.\n\nMore info:\n\nhttps://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Navier%E2%80%93Stokes_existence_and_smoothness\n\nThis market resolves to YES if the Clay Mathematics Institute (or equivalent organization) agrees that the Navier-Stokes problem has been solved, whether that be proved or disproved as per above by the end of 2030.\n\nOtherwise this market resolves to NO.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/Supermaxman%2Fecae8b894557.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-02T21:09:59.518000Z","end_date":"2031-01-01T05:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26681.28349425523,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":38.2053108215332,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.987035,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030?","top_outcome_probability":0.987035,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-06T00:17:27.265185Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T00:17:27.265185Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Supermaxman/will-the-navierstokes-equations-be","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"63LGVKNrgMhPAr1NSiBO","event_id":"63LGVKNrgMhPAr1NSiBO","slug":"will-the-navierstokes-equations-be","question":"Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030?","group_item_title":null,"description":"as per the Clay Mathematics Institute:\n\nProve or give a counter-example of the following statement:\n\nIn three space dimensions and time, given an initial velocity field, there exists a vector velocity and a scalar pressure field, which are both smooth and globally defined, that solve the Navier–Stokes equations.\n\nMore info:\n\nhttps://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Navier%E2%80%93Stokes_existence_and_smoothness\n\nThis market resolves to YES if the Clay Mathematics Institute (or equivalent organization) agrees that the Navier-Stokes problem has been solved, whether that be proved or disproved as per above by the end of 2030.\n\nOtherwise this market resolves to NO.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/Supermaxman%2Fecae8b894557.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.987035,0.012965],"probability":0.987035,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-02T21:09:59.518000Z","end_date":"2031-01-01T05:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":26681.28349425523,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":38.2053108215332,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T00:14:45.989608Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T00:14:45.989608Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Supermaxman/will-the-navierstokes-equations-be","event_title":"Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030?","chart_24h":null}]}