{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/68SkXonvYdqefKM0hL8O","as_of":"2026-10-20T04:15:26.045157Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will we get AGI before Vladimir Putin stops being the leader of Russia?\" — 37% as of 2026-08-16 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/68SkXonvYdqefKM0hL8O","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-vladimir-put"},"source":"manifold","id":"68SkXonvYdqefKM0hL8O","ticker":null,"slug":"will-we-get-agi-before-vladimir-put","title":"Will we get AGI before Vladimir Putin stops being the leader of Russia?","description":"Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can. It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.\n\nResolves as YES if we get AGI before Vladimir Putin stops being the leader of Russia.\n\nAGI questions:\n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2025 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2026-3d9bfaa96a61 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2027-d7b5f2b00ace \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2028-ff560f9e9346 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2029-ef1c187271ed \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2030 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2031 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2032 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2033 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2034 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2033-34ec8e1d00fd \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2036 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2037 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2038 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2039 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2040 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2041 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2042 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2043 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2044 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2045 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2047 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2048 \n\nVladimir Putin questions:\n\n@/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-president-of-1d6af8492e40 \n\n@/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-president-of-c5fc19dfa944 \n\n@/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-president-of-db3a43202784 \n\n@/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-leader-o \n\n@/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-leader-o-633da0d6a39c \n\n@/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-leader-o-09b2c751b74f \n\n@/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-leader-o-52c0e8d8ea7f \n\n@/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-leader-o-aa73615a426e \n\nOther questions:\n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-vladimir-put (this question)\n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-xi-jinping-s \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-a-human-vent \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-a-human-vent-549ed4a31a05 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-room@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-discover \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-fusio ","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-12-30T23:12:46.636000Z","end_date":"2050-03-01T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3930.6799388037907,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.203773498535156,"liquidity":1280.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.371608,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will we get AGI before Vladimir Putin stops being the leader of Russia?","top_outcome_probability":0.371608,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-16T22:30:17.281312Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T22:30:17.281312Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-vladimir-put","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"68SkXonvYdqefKM0hL8O","event_id":"68SkXonvYdqefKM0hL8O","slug":"will-we-get-agi-before-vladimir-put","question":"Will we get AGI before Vladimir Putin stops being the leader of Russia?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can. It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.\n\nResolves as YES if we get AGI before Vladimir Putin stops being the leader of Russia.\n\nAGI questions:\n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2025 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2026-3d9bfaa96a61 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2027-d7b5f2b00ace \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2028-ff560f9e9346 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2029-ef1c187271ed \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2030 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2031 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2032 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2033 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2034 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2033-34ec8e1d00fd \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2036 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2037 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2038 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2039 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2040 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2041 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2042 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2043 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2044 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2045 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2047 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2048 \n\nVladimir Putin questions:\n\n@/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-president-of-1d6af8492e40 \n\n@/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-president-of-c5fc19dfa944 \n\n@/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-president-of-db3a43202784 \n\n@/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-leader-o \n\n@/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-leader-o-633da0d6a39c \n\n@/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-leader-o-09b2c751b74f \n\n@/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-leader-o-52c0e8d8ea7f \n\n@/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-leader-o-aa73615a426e \n\nOther questions:\n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-vladimir-put (this question)\n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-xi-jinping-s \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-a-human-vent \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-a-human-vent-549ed4a31a05 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-room@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-discover \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-fusio ","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.371608,0.628392],"probability":0.371608,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-12-30T23:12:46.636000Z","end_date":"2050-03-01T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":3930.6799388037907,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.203773498535156,"liquidity":1280.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T13:14:03.496597Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T22:28:41.085111Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-vladimir-put","event_title":"Will we get AGI before Vladimir Putin stops being the leader of Russia?","chart_24h":null}]}