{"source":"manifold","id":"6Ndqlu0g2z","ticker":null,"slug":"will-trump-pardon-luigi-mangione-pr","title":"Will Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029?","description":"Luigi Mangione is charged in Federal Court on charges of Murder, Stalking, and Use of a Silencer. Will President Trump grant him a Presidential Pardon (either pre-emptive, partial, or full) before the end of his (theoretical) 4-year presidential term? (note: this market is exclusive of state charges [currently PA + NY], over which the federal government has little or no control) \nMAKE YOUR VOICE HEARD! BET YOUR CONSCIENCE!!","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-26T03:07:43.097000Z","end_date":"2029-02-22T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":154930.52252364205,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":52.612579345703125,"liquidity":10000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.010897,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029?","top_outcome_probability":0.010897,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-04T20:25:19.797595Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T20:25:19.797595Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/GregRoberts/will-trump-pardon-luigi-mangione-pr","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"6Ndqlu0g2z","event_id":"6Ndqlu0g2z","slug":"will-trump-pardon-luigi-mangione-pr","question":"Will Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Luigi Mangione is charged in Federal Court on charges of Murder, Stalking, and Use of a Silencer. Will President Trump grant him a Presidential Pardon (either pre-emptive, partial, or full) before the end of his (theoretical) 4-year presidential term? (note: this market is exclusive of state charges [currently PA + NY], over which the federal government has little or no control) \nMAKE YOUR VOICE HEARD! BET YOUR CONSCIENCE!!","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.010897,0.989103],"probability":0.010897,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-26T03:07:43.097000Z","end_date":"2029-02-22T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":154930.52252364205,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":52.612579345703125,"liquidity":10000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-04T20:23:30.313156Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T20:23:30.313156Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/GregRoberts/will-trump-pardon-luigi-mangione-pr","event_title":"Will Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/6Ndqlu0g2z","as_of":"2026-10-06T07:15:50.084940Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029?\" — top market at 1% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}