{"source":"manifold","id":"6jgidjlM8AJm2X753EvM","ticker":null,"slug":"will-there-be-a-new-country-before","title":"Will there be a new country before 2028?","description":"The country must be internationally recognized \n\n[image]","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-02-22T20:08:28.361000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4863.229759101401,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.69172477722168,"liquidity":1790.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["World"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.680697,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will there be a new country before 2028?","top_outcome_probability":0.680697,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-18T20:55:06.956901Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T20:55:06.956901Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Wobbles/will-there-be-a-new-country-before","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"6jgidjlM8AJm2X753EvM","event_id":"6jgidjlM8AJm2X753EvM","slug":"will-there-be-a-new-country-before","question":"Will there be a new country before 2028?","group_item_title":null,"description":"The country must be internationally recognized \n\n[image]","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.680697,0.319303],"probability":0.680697,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-02-22T20:08:28.361000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4863.229759101401,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.69172477722168,"liquidity":1790.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T07:18:18.325646Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-18T20:52:14.570094Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Wobbles/will-there-be-a-new-country-before","event_title":"Will there be a new country before 2028?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/6jgidjlM8AJm2X753EvM","as_of":"2026-09-08T21:56:16.928134Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will there be a new country before 2028?\" — top market at 68% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}