{"source":"manifold","id":"6mm0298z31","ticker":null,"slug":"will-taylor-swift-win-the-2028-pres","title":"Will Taylor Swift win the 2028 presidential election?","description":"as reported by NYT","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/sama/x0e7fxf81k.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-22T01:19:29.587000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T15:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":32114.51827397472,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":40.37921905517578,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.026517,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Taylor Swift win the 2028 presidential election?","top_outcome_probability":0.026517,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-17T04:10:19.069836Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T04:10:19.069836Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/sama/will-taylor-swift-win-the-2028-pres","chart_24h":[0.026517,0.026517],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"6mm0298z31","event_id":"6mm0298z31","slug":"will-taylor-swift-win-the-2028-pres","question":"Will Taylor Swift win the 2028 presidential election?","group_item_title":null,"description":"as reported by NYT","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/sama/x0e7fxf81k.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.026517,0.973483],"probability":0.026517,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-22T01:19:29.587000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T15:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":32114.51827397472,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":40.37921905517578,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T02:09:51.621882Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T04:09:28.907042Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/sama/will-taylor-swift-win-the-2028-pres","event_title":"Will Taylor Swift win the 2028 presidential election?","chart_24h":[0.026517,0.026517]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/6mm0298z31","as_of":"2026-07-25T20:45:09.183409Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Taylor Swift win the 2028 presidential election?\" — top market at 3% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}