{"source":"manifold","id":"6pqRtydqtP","ticker":null,"slug":"spiderman-brand-new-day-breaks-the-LCyIqUycEP","title":"\"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?","description":"The current record is held by \"Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens\", with a domestic lifetime gross of $936,662,225. This market resolves YES if \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" has a domestic lifetime gross higher than $936,662,225, and it resolves NO otherwise.\n\nResolution source: BoxOfficeMojo\n\nClosing market in approximately 2 months and resolving when it is confirmed one way or the other. I may close the market sooner if it looks necessary.\n\nCredit to Ziddletwix for market format/idea ","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T13:54:13.649000Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12054.536731321372,"volume_24hr":2322.712953119677,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":71.9384765625,"normalized_volume":33.106868743896484,"liquidity":121.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.756937,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"\"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?","top_outcome_probability":0.756937,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.14243699999999992,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1285.4797102108696,"updated_at":"2026-08-11T18:54:38.636092Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T18:54:38.636092Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T08:35:32.258621Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Zeolite/spiderman-brand-new-day-breaks-the-LCyIqUycEP","chart_24h":[0.6145,0.6145,0.6145,0.6145,0.6145,0.6145,0.6145,0.6145,0.6145,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.547691,0.547691,0.547691,0.547691,0.547691,0.547691,0.547691,0.547691,0.773156,0.765105,0.756937,0.756937],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"6pqRtydqtP","event_id":"6pqRtydqtP","slug":"spiderman-brand-new-day-breaks-the-LCyIqUycEP","question":"\"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?","group_item_title":null,"description":"The current record is held by \"Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens\", with a domestic lifetime gross of $936,662,225. This market resolves YES if \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" has a domestic lifetime gross higher than $936,662,225, and it resolves NO otherwise.\n\nResolution source: BoxOfficeMojo\n\nClosing market in approximately 2 months and resolving when it is confirmed one way or the other. I may close the market sooner if it looks necessary.\n\nCredit to Ziddletwix for market format/idea ","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.756937,0.243063],"probability":0.756937,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-03T13:54:13.649000Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12054.536731321372,"volume_24hr":2322.712953119677,"prob_24h_change":0.14243699999999992,"volume_24h_change":1285.4797102108696,"normalized_vol_24hr":71.9384765625,"normalized_volume":33.106868743896484,"liquidity":121.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T18:56:11.322755Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T18:53:33.925204Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T08:35:32.258621Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Zeolite/spiderman-brand-new-day-breaks-the-LCyIqUycEP","event_title":"\"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?","chart_24h":[0.6145,0.6145,0.6145,0.6145,0.6145,0.6145,0.6145,0.6145,0.6145,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.547691,0.547691,0.547691,0.547691,0.547691,0.547691,0.547691,0.547691,0.773156,0.765105,0.756937,0.756937]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/6pqRtydqtP","as_of":"2026-08-11T18:57:41.721524Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"\"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?\" — top market at 76% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}