{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/6uO800d2zh","as_of":"2026-10-12T11:34:35.205827Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?\" — 18% as of 2026-10-12 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/6uO800d2zh","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/jim/will-trump-take-back-the-panama-can"},"source":"manifold","id":"6uO800d2zh","ticker":null,"slug":"will-trump-take-back-the-panama-can","title":"Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?","description":"If the United States government has taken control of at least some part of the Panama Canal before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from The New York Times.\n\nResolves identically to this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcanal/panama-canal-retaken\n\nUpdate 2025-20-01 (PST): - Control means the United States assumes new primary operational authority over some part of the canal. (AI summary of creator comment)","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/jim/yllPc8qRzN.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-20T19:14:08.602000Z","end_date":"2029-12-20T10:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":102842.67655032095,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":49.01504135131836,"liquidity":756.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.180004,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?","top_outcome_probability":0.180004,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-24.5,"updated_at":"2026-10-12T11:08:56.500396Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T11:08:56.500396Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/jim/will-trump-take-back-the-panama-can","chart_24h":[0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"6uO800d2zh","event_id":"6uO800d2zh","slug":"will-trump-take-back-the-panama-can","question":"Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?","group_item_title":null,"description":"If the United States government has taken control of at least some part of the Panama Canal before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from The New York Times.\n\nResolves identically to this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcanal/panama-canal-retaken\n\nUpdate 2025-20-01 (PST): - Control means the United States assumes new primary operational authority over some part of the canal. (AI summary of creator comment)","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/jim/yllPc8qRzN.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.180004,0.819996],"probability":0.180004,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-20T19:14:08.602000Z","end_date":"2029-12-20T10:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":102842.67655032095,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-24.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":49.01504135131836,"liquidity":756.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Panama"],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T11:07:06.033654Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T11:07:06.033654Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/jim/will-trump-take-back-the-panama-can","event_title":"Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?","chart_24h":[0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004,0.180004]}]}