{"source":"manifold","id":"7GiChhJx1lJx0zEZCLW9","ticker":null,"slug":"will-apple-launch-an-iphone-with-re","title":"Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2026?","description":"If apple announces it but it is not available for purchase to the general public by close, that won't count.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-13T15:26:20.767000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T18:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13450.62303322436,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.89057922363281,"liquidity":1595.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.05843,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.05843,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-23T12:29:55.489172Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-23T12:29:55.489172Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/_deleted_/will-apple-launch-an-iphone-with-re","chart_24h":[0.05843,0.05843],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"7GiChhJx1lJx0zEZCLW9","event_id":"7GiChhJx1lJx0zEZCLW9","slug":"will-apple-launch-an-iphone-with-re","question":"Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"If apple announces it but it is not available for purchase to the general public by close, that won't count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.05843,0.94157],"probability":0.05843,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-13T15:26:20.767000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T18:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13450.62303322436,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.89057922363281,"liquidity":1595.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T12:52:37.234216Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-23T12:27:00.807027Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/_deleted_/will-apple-launch-an-iphone-with-re","event_title":"Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.05843,0.05843]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/7GiChhJx1lJx0zEZCLW9","as_of":"2026-07-26T02:15:39.467356Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2026?\" — top market at 6% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}