{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/8Eq6ZI9OpP","as_of":"2026-10-28T10:42:19.340810Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Largest company end of October 2026?\" — \"NVIDIA\" leads at 93% across 10 outcomes as of 2026-10-28 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/8Eq6ZI9OpP","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/largest-company-end-of-october-2026"},"source":"manifold","id":"8Eq6ZI9OpP","ticker":"8Eq6ZI9OpP","slug":"largest-company-end-of-october-2026","title":"Largest company end of October 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap at the end of October 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be https://companiesmarketcap.com\n\nSee also:\n\n@CZp52czdQL \n\n@pSA5yhznSg \n\n@IR9PCnRs9y \n\n@SuInzszsQu \n\n@dE9Uys0AlS \n\n@s0dORIdE5t \n\n@A5ASy8LdlS \n\n@ttCZpQ0O5p \n\n@ln2cAICQ6d \n\n@8Eq6ZI9OpP (this market)\n\n@nn5ng86AUu \n\n@pcs58QCIgs \n\n@lct6lLAQq9 \n\n@uucytuQ2lN \n\n@scPI6sLt5S ","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T23:53:24.055000Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25723.860990743025,"volume_24hr":4649.01337246521,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":62.84471893310547,"normalized_volume":37.9286003112793,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"tags":["technology-default","finance","business","big-tech","companies"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"NVIDIA","top_outcome_probability":0.93,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.038423000000000096,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":775.5483058722348,"updated_at":"2026-10-28T10:24:36.713448Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-28T10:24:36.713448Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T07:42:30.070910Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/largest-company-end-of-october-2026","chart_24h":[4913.457822857277,4228.566251222652,4188.846251222652,4651.013372465206],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":10,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"AOyCQyPUZC","event_id":"8Eq6ZI9OpP","slug":null,"question":"NVIDIA","group_item_title":"NVIDIA","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.93,0.07],"probability":0.93,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T23:53:24.056000Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":19520.228902146984,"volume_24hr":881.4529877004643,"prob_24h_change":0.038423000000000096,"volume_24h_change":775.5483058722348,"normalized_vol_24hr":40.54281997680664,"normalized_volume":35.89527893066406,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-28T10:24:41.218872Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-28T10:24:37.150466Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T07:42:30.283809Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/largest-company-end-of-october-2026","event_title":"Largest company end of October 2026?","chart_24h":[0.891577,0.91,0.91,0.93]},{"source":"manifold","id":"hyttZ2dC8R","event_id":"8Eq6ZI9OpP","slug":null,"question":"Apple","group_item_title":"Apple","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.068011,0.931989],"probability":0.068011,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T23:53:24.056000Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":5507.0645232734505,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.038317000000000004,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.8292245864868164,"normalized_volume":27.289480209350586,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-28T10:24:41.218872Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-28T09:38:12.058919Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T07:42:30.283809Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/largest-company-end-of-october-2026","event_title":"Largest company end of October 2026?","chart_24h":[0.106328,0.087932,0.068011]},{"source":"manifold","id":"dQucA8l89U","event_id":"8Eq6ZI9OpP","slug":null,"question":"Alphabet (Google)","group_item_title":"Alphabet (Google)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000536,0.999464],"probability":0.000536,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T23:53:24.056000Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":363.01554319792376,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.00003799999999999995,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.790276527404785,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-28T09:38:12.058919Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-28T09:38:12.058919Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T07:42:30.283809Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/largest-company-end-of-october-2026","event_title":"Largest company end of October 2026?","chart_24h":[0.000574,0.000564,0.000536]},{"source":"manifold","id":"sp8sPNAC59","event_id":"8Eq6ZI9OpP","slug":null,"question":"Microsoft","group_item_title":"Microsoft","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000458,0.999542],"probability":0.000458,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T23:53:24.056000Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":83.93433412559686,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.00002999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.25641393661499,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-28T09:38:12.058919Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-28T09:38:12.058919Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T07:42:30.283809Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/largest-company-end-of-october-2026","event_title":"Largest company end of October 2026?","chart_24h":[0.000488,0.00048,0.000458]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9nUEc2qzqE","event_id":"8Eq6ZI9OpP","slug":null,"question":"Tesla","group_item_title":"Tesla","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000166,0.999834],"probability":0.000166,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T23:53:24.056000Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-6.00000000000001e-6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-28T09:38:12.058919Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-28T09:38:12.058919Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T07:42:30.283809Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/largest-company-end-of-october-2026","event_title":"Largest company end of October 2026?","chart_24h":[0.000172,0.000171,0.000166]},{"source":"manifold","id":"EUsOtAnZNI","event_id":"8Eq6ZI9OpP","slug":null,"question":"Amazon","group_item_title":"Amazon","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000166,0.999834],"probability":0.000166,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T23:53:24.056000Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-6.00000000000001e-6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-28T09:38:12.058919Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-28T09:38:12.058919Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T07:42:30.283809Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/largest-company-end-of-october-2026","event_title":"Largest company end of October 2026?","chart_24h":[0.000172,0.000171,0.000166]},{"source":"manifold","id":"OUuQLcQQ8R","event_id":"8Eq6ZI9OpP","slug":null,"question":"SpaceX","group_item_title":"SpaceX","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000166,0.999834],"probability":0.000166,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T23:53:24.056000Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-6.00000000000001e-6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-28T09:38:12.058919Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-28T09:38:12.058919Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T07:42:30.283809Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/largest-company-end-of-october-2026","event_title":"Largest company end of October 2026?","chart_24h":[0.000172,0.000171,0.000166]},{"source":"manifold","id":"dhNQsy90uh","event_id":"8Eq6ZI9OpP","slug":null,"question":"OpenAI","group_item_title":"OpenAI","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000166,0.999834],"probability":0.000166,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T23:53:24.056000Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-6.00000000000001e-6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-28T09:38:12.058919Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-28T09:38:12.058919Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T07:42:30.283809Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/largest-company-end-of-october-2026","event_title":"Largest company end of October 2026?","chart_24h":[0.000172,0.000171,0.000166]},{"source":"manifold","id":"dqnLCS6pzS","event_id":"8Eq6ZI9OpP","slug":null,"question":"Other","group_item_title":"Other","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000166,0.999834],"probability":0.000166,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T23:53:24.056000Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-6.00000000000001e-6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-28T09:38:12.058919Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-28T09:38:12.058919Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T07:42:30.283809Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/largest-company-end-of-october-2026","event_title":"Largest company end of October 2026?","chart_24h":[0.000172,0.000171,0.000166]},{"source":"manifold","id":"RSAAtUUIp9","event_id":"8Eq6ZI9OpP","slug":null,"question":"Anthropic","group_item_title":"Anthropic","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000165,0.999835],"probability":0.000165,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T23:53:24.056000Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":249.61768799904635,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-6.00000000000001e-6,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.222375869750977,"liquidity":166.66666666666666,"categories":["Science and Technology","Finance","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-28T09:38:12.058919Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-28T09:38:12.058919Z","added_at":"2026-10-28T07:42:30.283809Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/largest-company-end-of-october-2026","event_title":"Largest company end of October 2026?","chart_24h":[0.000171,0.000169,0.000165]}]}