{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/8m2QavDR1KYRdV3g8aDf","as_of":"2026-11-02T18:10:33.708694Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2033?\" — 22% as of 2026-10-29 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/8m2QavDR1KYRdV3g8aDf","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc"},"source":"manifold","id":"8m2QavDR1KYRdV3g8aDf","ticker":null,"slug":"will-we-get-room-temperature-superc","title":"Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2033?","description":"Resolves as YES if a superconductor at Room Temperature (RT) and Ambient Pressure (AP) has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before January 1st 2033.\n\nQuestions with the same criteria:\n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-e940f30870be \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-ebfceb8eefc5 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-f41118c07313 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-3ccf49dbe194 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-7d562d338323 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-59822776e416 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-superconductors-before \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-superconductors-before-9c92871092bc \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc (this question)\n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-ba1e9ced21b7 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-ece7abf70bde \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-9cd12d2b6612 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-263502d92c27 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-c57aceafb9dc \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-ee6f81c4458a \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-b54305af5198 \n\nOther questions for 2033:\n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2033 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2033 \n\n@/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-again-onto-the-2a1f4da84a39 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-2f90be5ca48d \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-02fec46476dd \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7973daa750f9 \n\n@/RemNi/will-1m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-04a4cc646b5b \n\n@/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be-d17e1e9eef9b \n\nOther reference points for room temperature superconductors:\n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-room \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-aaddefa708d8 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-039aff3aa191 \n\nRoom Temperature is defined as between 0 and 30 centigrade. Ambient Pressure is defined as between 0.5 and 2 atmospheres.\n\nImage credits: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Meissner_effect.ogv","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FCKbGi_J_7d.jpg?alt=media&token=8dba8284-bd00-4c5a-8b06-f3ea89516b2b","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-05T17:12:25.339000Z","end_date":"2033-03-01T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14470.972222923154,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.747352600097656,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.215128,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2033?","top_outcome_probability":0.215128,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-29T23:20:08.696287Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T23:20:08.696287Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T20:44:14.574917Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"8m2QavDR1KYRdV3g8aDf","event_id":"8m2QavDR1KYRdV3g8aDf","slug":"will-we-get-room-temperature-superc","question":"Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2033?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves as YES if a superconductor at Room Temperature (RT) and Ambient Pressure (AP) has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before January 1st 2033.\n\nQuestions with the same criteria:\n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-e940f30870be \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-ebfceb8eefc5 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-f41118c07313 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-3ccf49dbe194 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-7d562d338323 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-59822776e416 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-superconductors-before \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-superconductors-before-9c92871092bc \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc (this question)\n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-ba1e9ced21b7 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-ece7abf70bde \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-9cd12d2b6612 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-263502d92c27 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-c57aceafb9dc \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-ee6f81c4458a \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-b54305af5198 \n\nOther questions for 2033:\n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2033 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2033 \n\n@/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-again-onto-the-2a1f4da84a39 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-2f90be5ca48d \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-02fec46476dd \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7973daa750f9 \n\n@/RemNi/will-1m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-04a4cc646b5b \n\n@/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be-d17e1e9eef9b \n\nOther reference points for room temperature superconductors:\n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-room \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-aaddefa708d8 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-039aff3aa191 \n\nRoom Temperature is defined as between 0 and 30 centigrade. Ambient Pressure is defined as between 0.5 and 2 atmospheres.\n\nImage credits: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Meissner_effect.ogv","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FCKbGi_J_7d.jpg?alt=media&token=8dba8284-bd00-4c5a-8b06-f3ea89516b2b","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.215128,0.784872],"probability":0.215128,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-05T17:12:25.339000Z","end_date":"2033-03-01T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":14470.972222923154,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.747352600097656,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-29T23:19:11.535741Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-29T23:19:11.535741Z","added_at":"2026-09-11T20:44:14.574917Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc","event_title":"Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2033?","chart_24h":null}]}