{"source":"manifold","id":"8o3UdQEz6oISjrdUlWdg","ticker":null,"slug":"will-donald-trump-publicly-call-for","title":"Will Donald Trump publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-19T00:52:07.420000Z","end_date":"2028-01-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6724.979428214504,"volume_24hr":2027.314030777812,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":48.72602462768555,"normalized_volume":28.737062454223633,"liquidity":400.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.182708,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Donald Trump publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?","top_outcome_probability":0.182708,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.031835,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1712.0877777571602,"updated_at":"2026-09-22T16:25:58.165509Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-22T16:25:58.165509Z","added_at":"2026-09-21T18:32:13.866409Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/SemioticRivalry/will-donald-trump-publicly-call-for","chart_24h":[0.214543,0.20004,0.20004,0.20004,0.20004,0.20004,0.18,0.196055,0.196055,0.196055,0.196055,0.182708],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"8o3UdQEz6oISjrdUlWdg","event_id":"8o3UdQEz6oISjrdUlWdg","slug":"will-donald-trump-publicly-call-for","question":"Will Donald Trump publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?","group_item_title":null,"description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.182708,0.817292],"probability":0.182708,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-19T00:52:07.420000Z","end_date":"2028-01-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6724.979428214504,"volume_24hr":2027.314030777812,"prob_24h_change":-0.031835,"volume_24h_change":1712.0877777571602,"normalized_vol_24hr":48.72602462768555,"normalized_volume":28.737062454223633,"liquidity":400.0,"categories":["Politics","Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-22T16:25:05.793767Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-22T16:25:05.793767Z","added_at":"2026-09-21T18:32:13.866409Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/SemioticRivalry/will-donald-trump-publicly-call-for","event_title":"Will Donald Trump publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?","chart_24h":[0.214543,0.20004,0.20004,0.20004,0.20004,0.20004,0.18,0.196055,0.196055,0.196055,0.196055,0.182708]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/8o3UdQEz6oISjrdUlWdg","as_of":"2026-09-22T18:05:01.084532Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Donald Trump publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?\" — top market at 18% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}