{"source":"manifold","id":"95kqlwoYLmePMgPupNWN","ticker":null,"slug":"will-australia-enter-a-recession-be","title":"Will Australia enter a recession before 2026?","description":"Recession defined as two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth, as published quarterly by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and taking into account any revisions made in the following two quarterly releases.\n\nThis market resolves with the same criteria as this Metaculus question:\n\nhttps://www.metaculus.com/questions/13922/australia-to-enter-recession-before-2026/","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2F9M4WxD17-T.png?alt=media&token=938dcb67-e772-472e-a541-54f0ddd380f6","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-01-03T11:13:27.628000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":23304.293212169945,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":37.96464920043945,"liquidity":1010.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.009398,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Australia enter a recession before 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.009398,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/chrisjbillington/will-australia-enter-a-recession-be","chart_24h":[0.009398,0.009398],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"95kqlwoYLmePMgPupNWN","event_id":"95kqlwoYLmePMgPupNWN","slug":"will-australia-enter-a-recession-be","question":"Will Australia enter a recession before 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Recession defined as two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth, as published quarterly by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and taking into account any revisions made in the following two quarterly releases.\n\nThis market resolves with the same criteria as this Metaculus question:\n\nhttps://www.metaculus.com/questions/13922/australia-to-enter-recession-before-2026/","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2F9M4WxD17-T.png?alt=media&token=938dcb67-e772-472e-a541-54f0ddd380f6","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.009398,0.990602],"probability":0.009398,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-01-03T11:13:27.628000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":23304.293212169945,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":37.96464920043945,"liquidity":1010.0,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["Australia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.281893Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/chrisjbillington/will-australia-enter-a-recession-be","event_title":"Will Australia enter a recession before 2026?","chart_24h":[0.009398,0.009398]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/95kqlwoYLmePMgPupNWN","as_of":"2026-06-10T12:51:22.764090Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Australia enter a recession before 2026?\" — top market at 1% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}