{"source":"manifold","id":"9NOUu5NzOp","ticker":null,"slug":"will-trump-say-that-moon-should-bec","title":"Will Trump say that Moon should become a state before the end of his term?","description":"Mike Solana popularized the idea that Moon should be a state: https://www.piratewires.com/p/moon-should-be-a-state\n\nIn his Pirate Wires podcast dated 2/7/25, Solana raised the possibility of Trump adding Moon to his list of things the US should be acquiring. Given the claims over Canada, Greenland, Panama, et al, this doesn't seem out of the question.\n\nUltimately this is a meme market, so it really does need to be Trump exploring the idea of statehood for Moon, not just a territory. Ideally he says the exact phrase \"Moon should be a state\", but since he's not terminally online, it's more likely the phrase gets filtered through something and comes out differently, and that will be close enough. But I'm holding the line at statehood - saying we should own Moon, or control Moon is not good enough. Moon should be a state.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-11T07:37:48.209000Z","end_date":"2029-01-22T05:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8991.266184345752,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.096981048583984,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Mentions"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.19,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Trump say that Moon should become a state before the end of his term?","top_outcome_probability":0.19,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/WilliamEden/will-trump-say-that-moon-should-bec","chart_24h":[0.19,0.19],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"9NOUu5NzOp","event_id":"9NOUu5NzOp","slug":"will-trump-say-that-moon-should-bec","question":"Will Trump say that Moon should become a state before the end of his term?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Mike Solana popularized the idea that Moon should be a state: https://www.piratewires.com/p/moon-should-be-a-state\n\nIn his Pirate Wires podcast dated 2/7/25, Solana raised the possibility of Trump adding Moon to his list of things the US should be acquiring. Given the claims over Canada, Greenland, Panama, et al, this doesn't seem out of the question.\n\nUltimately this is a meme market, so it really does need to be Trump exploring the idea of statehood for Moon, not just a territory. Ideally he says the exact phrase \"Moon should be a state\", but since he's not terminally online, it's more likely the phrase gets filtered through something and comes out differently, and that will be close enough. But I'm holding the line at statehood - saying we should own Moon, or control Moon is not good enough. Moon should be a state.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-11T07:37:48.209000Z","end_date":"2029-01-22T05:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8991.266184345752,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.096981048583984,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T05:26:57.172892Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.281893Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/WilliamEden/will-trump-say-that-moon-should-bec","event_title":"Will Trump say that Moon should become a state before the end of his term?","chart_24h":[0.19,0.19]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/9NOUu5NzOp","as_of":"2026-07-03T15:20:39.390637Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Trump say that Moon should become a state before the end of his term?\" — top market at 19% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}