{"source":"manifold","id":"9cN6yR8nCq","ticker":null,"slug":"clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026","title":"CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026?","description":"Resolves YES if H.R. 3633, the \"Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025\" (CLARITY Act) is signed into law during 2026.\n\nhttps://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633\n\nIf this exact bill fails but a substantially similar bill passes, I will use my best judgment to decide the resolution based on market commentary. I will likely bet on this market, so caveat emptor.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-21T23:57:52.923000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":67573.07052053939,"volume_24hr":4294.982090463319,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":99.58524322509766,"normalized_volume":46.39905548095703,"liquidity":5100.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["World"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.484607,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.484607,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.07539300000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2653.3942600104956,"updated_at":"2026-07-06T15:04:00.196684Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-06T15:04:00.196684Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T10:43:08.134830Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Techiavellian/clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026","chart_24h":[0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.484607],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"9cN6yR8nCq","event_id":"9cN6yR8nCq","slug":"clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026","question":"CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves YES if H.R. 3633, the \"Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025\" (CLARITY Act) is signed into law during 2026.\n\nhttps://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633\n\nIf this exact bill fails but a substantially similar bill passes, I will use my best judgment to decide the resolution based on market commentary. I will likely bet on this market, so caveat emptor.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.484607,0.515393],"probability":0.484607,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-21T23:57:52.923000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":67573.07052053939,"volume_24hr":4294.982090463319,"prob_24h_change":-0.07539300000000004,"volume_24h_change":2653.3942600104956,"normalized_vol_24hr":100.0,"normalized_volume":46.39905548095703,"liquidity":5100.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-06T15:04:07.039023Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-06T15:03:23.641334Z","added_at":"2026-07-06T10:43:08.134830Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Techiavellian/clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026","event_title":"CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.484607]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/9cN6yR8nCq","as_of":"2026-07-06T15:21:12.543994Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026?\" — top market at 48% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}