{"source":"manifold","id":"9pZ9UhNuNg","ticker":null,"slug":"trump-tries-to-serve-a-third-term","title":"Trump tries to serve a third term?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-03-31T23:44:23.252000Z","end_date":"2029-01-21T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":96577.12669679166,"volume_24hr":1147.709446474303,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":47.99638748168945,"normalized_volume":49.492164611816406,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["politics-default","trumps-second-term","donald-trump","magaland","us-politics","us-democracy"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.175944,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Trump tries to serve a third term?","top_outcome_probability":0.175944,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.10405600000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-5747.0331892803515,"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:36:36.025726Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:36:36.025726Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Tiger/trump-tries-to-serve-a-third-term","chart_24h":[0.28,0.227215,0.209997,0.209997,0.207097,0.207097,0.207097,0.199335,0.199335,0.199335,0.23,0.23621,0.258903,0.249584,0.249376,0.249376,0.249376,0.243257,0.25596,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170722,0.170722,0.170722,0.174763,0.175944,0.175944,0.175944,0.175944],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"9pZ9UhNuNg","event_id":"9pZ9UhNuNg","slug":"trump-tries-to-serve-a-third-term","question":"Trump tries to serve a third term?","group_item_title":null,"description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.175944,0.824056],"probability":0.175944,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-03-31T23:44:23.252000Z","end_date":"2029-01-21T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":96577.12669679166,"volume_24hr":1147.709446474303,"prob_24h_change":-0.10405600000000004,"volume_24h_change":-5747.0331892803515,"normalized_vol_24hr":47.99638748168945,"normalized_volume":49.492164611816406,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-30T21:35:54.207028Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T21:35:54.207028Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Tiger/trump-tries-to-serve-a-third-term","event_title":"Trump tries to serve a third term?","chart_24h":[0.28,0.227215,0.209997,0.209997,0.207097,0.207097,0.207097,0.199335,0.199335,0.199335,0.23,0.23621,0.258903,0.249584,0.249376,0.249376,0.249376,0.243257,0.25596,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170722,0.170722,0.170722,0.174763,0.175944,0.175944,0.175944,0.175944]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/9pZ9UhNuNg","as_of":"2026-05-30T21:42:11.988322Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Trump tries to serve a third term?\" — top market at 18% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}