{"source":"manifold","id":"AEzNJISgy47g6LF2z7mu","ticker":null,"slug":"will-the-new-york-times-nyt-achieve","title":"Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?","description":"Resolution Criteria\n\nFavorable Outcome Defined: A favorable outcome for the New York Times (NYT) would be defined as meeting at least one of the following conditions:\n\nThe court rules in favor of the NYT on any of the major claims.\n\nOpenAI and/or Microsoft agree to a settlement that involves monetary compensation, content usage changes, or other concessions beneficial to the NYT.\n\nThe court orders a cease in the use of NYT’s content by OpenAI and Microsoft or demands the destruction of training data that includes NYT content.\n\nSources of Verification: Official court documents, credible news reports, or direct statements from the parties involved (NYT, OpenAI, Microsoft) will be used to verify the outcome.\n\nAmbiguity Clause: If the outcome is ambiguous or partial (e.g., minor concessions without a clear win for NYT), the question will be resolved as No. Only clear, substantial wins as per the defined criteria will resolve this question as Yes.\n\nExclusions: Minor procedural wins or losses, interim rulings, or outcomes not directly affecting the central claims of the lawsuit will not count towards resolving this bet.\n\n@SirCryptomind generally has a better understanding of the legal environment and has a very similar market on this if you wish to bet on it: \n\n\n(https://manifold.markets/embed/SirCryptomind/will-the-new-york-times-win-a-lawsu)","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FODz42lVca-.jpeg?alt=media&token=a5aab474-f903-411a-95eb-ca0333c814d9","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-12-27T21:24:47.929000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9213.338774163016,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.28152084350586,"liquidity":1090.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.795547,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?","top_outcome_probability":0.795547,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Soli/will-the-new-york-times-nyt-achieve","chart_24h":[0.795547,0.795547],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"AEzNJISgy47g6LF2z7mu","event_id":"AEzNJISgy47g6LF2z7mu","slug":"will-the-new-york-times-nyt-achieve","question":"Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolution Criteria\n\nFavorable Outcome Defined: A favorable outcome for the New York Times (NYT) would be defined as meeting at least one of the following conditions:\n\nThe court rules in favor of the NYT on any of the major claims.\n\nOpenAI and/or Microsoft agree to a settlement that involves monetary compensation, content usage changes, or other concessions beneficial to the NYT.\n\nThe court orders a cease in the use of NYT’s content by OpenAI and Microsoft or demands the destruction of training data that includes NYT content.\n\nSources of Verification: Official court documents, credible news reports, or direct statements from the parties involved (NYT, OpenAI, Microsoft) will be used to verify the outcome.\n\nAmbiguity Clause: If the outcome is ambiguous or partial (e.g., minor concessions without a clear win for NYT), the question will be resolved as No. Only clear, substantial wins as per the defined criteria will resolve this question as Yes.\n\nExclusions: Minor procedural wins or losses, interim rulings, or outcomes not directly affecting the central claims of the lawsuit will not count towards resolving this bet.\n\n@SirCryptomind generally has a better understanding of the legal environment and has a very similar market on this if you wish to bet on it: \n\n\n(https://manifold.markets/embed/SirCryptomind/will-the-new-york-times-win-a-lawsu)","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FODz42lVca-.jpeg?alt=media&token=a5aab474-f903-411a-95eb-ca0333c814d9","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.795547,0.204453],"probability":0.795547,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-12-27T21:24:47.929000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9213.338774163016,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.28152084350586,"liquidity":1090.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:36:25.491276Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-11T23:24:42.270384Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Soli/will-the-new-york-times-nyt-achieve","event_title":"Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?","chart_24h":[0.795547,0.795547]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/AEzNJISgy47g6LF2z7mu","as_of":"2026-06-10T15:21:31.625746Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?\" — top market at 80% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}