{"source":"manifold","id":"Awlp7PPGt3L9R2d3q9Af","ticker":null,"slug":"will-eliezer-yudkowsky-appear-on-th-b393e64be082","title":"Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?","description":"The magazines are:\n\nTime\n\nWired\n\nThe Economist\n\nReader's Digest\n\nForbes\n\nRolling Stone\n\nMIT Technology Review\n\nCosmopolitan\n\nNational Geographic\n\nSports Illustrated\n\nGame Informer\n\nMen's Health\n\nMoney\n\nVanity Fair\n\nNewtype\n\nTeen Vogue\n\nSmithsonian\n\nGQ\n\nThe Week\n\nBetter Homes and Gardens\n\nPeople\n\nThe New Yorker\n\nFortune\n\nWeekly Shonen Jump\n\nAmerican Rifleman\n\nNew Scientist\n\nEsquire\n\nHe does not have to be the sole figure on the cover for it to count.\n\nIt does not have to be a photo or photorealistic to count - stylized depictions of Eliezer will count. \n\nInternational/regional editions of magazines count so long as they are official and released in print. \n\n","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-07-13T11:37:07.481000Z","end_date":"2028-01-02T12:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18663.96892687842,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.266117095947266,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Mentions"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.372629,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?","top_outcome_probability":0.372629,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-20T17:38:05.939759Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-20T17:38:05.939759Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Tripping/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-appear-on-th-b393e64be082","chart_24h":[0.372629,0.372629],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"Awlp7PPGt3L9R2d3q9Af","event_id":"Awlp7PPGt3L9R2d3q9Af","slug":"will-eliezer-yudkowsky-appear-on-th-b393e64be082","question":"Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?","group_item_title":null,"description":"The magazines are:\n\nTime\n\nWired\n\nThe Economist\n\nReader's Digest\n\nForbes\n\nRolling Stone\n\nMIT Technology Review\n\nCosmopolitan\n\nNational Geographic\n\nSports Illustrated\n\nGame Informer\n\nMen's Health\n\nMoney\n\nVanity Fair\n\nNewtype\n\nTeen Vogue\n\nSmithsonian\n\nGQ\n\nThe Week\n\nBetter Homes and Gardens\n\nPeople\n\nThe New Yorker\n\nFortune\n\nWeekly Shonen Jump\n\nAmerican Rifleman\n\nNew Scientist\n\nEsquire\n\nHe does not have to be the sole figure on the cover for it to count.\n\nIt does not have to be a photo or photorealistic to count - stylized depictions of Eliezer will count. \n\nInternational/regional editions of magazines count so long as they are official and released in print. \n\n","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.372629,0.627371],"probability":0.372629,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-07-13T11:37:07.481000Z","end_date":"2028-01-02T12:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18663.96892687842,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.266117095947266,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-26T05:11:23.233992Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-20T17:36:00.329282Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Tripping/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-appear-on-th-b393e64be082","event_title":"Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?","chart_24h":[0.372629,0.372629]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/Awlp7PPGt3L9R2d3q9Af","as_of":"2026-07-26T05:52:11.847321Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?\" — top market at 37% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}