{"source":"manifold","id":"Azi0dYBPnxFq92RRgSje","ticker":null,"slug":"in-2028-will-ai-rank-at-least-as-hi","title":"In 2028, will AI rank at least as high as abortion on Gallup's poll of America's most important problem?","description":"Each month, Gallup publishes a poll asking Americans \"what do you think is the most important problem facing the country today?\" If Gallup no longer conducts this poll (or an extremely similar one) in 2028, this market will resolve to N/A.\n\nOtherwise, I will find the average (over the 12 months of 2028) of the displayed percentages for the category most specifically referencing abortion and the category most specifically referencing AI. For the current poll, I would consider the category \"advancements of computers/technology\" to be referencing AI. However, if there was an explicit \"AI\" option I would use that one instead. \n\nUpdate 2026-03-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If neither abortion nor AI has a clear category in the Gallup poll, the market resolves N/A. If only one of the two has a clear category, that one is used and the other is treated as having insufficient responses to appear, resolving based on that single category.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-17T07:16:46.702000Z","end_date":"2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14096.538375311475,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":34.263816833496094,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.827097,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"In 2028, will AI rank at least as high as abortion on Gallup's poll of America's most important problem?","top_outcome_probability":0.827097,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Arky/in-2028-will-ai-rank-at-least-as-hi","chart_24h":[0.827097,0.827097],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"Azi0dYBPnxFq92RRgSje","event_id":"Azi0dYBPnxFq92RRgSje","slug":"in-2028-will-ai-rank-at-least-as-hi","question":"In 2028, will AI rank at least as high as abortion on Gallup's poll of America's most important problem?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Each month, Gallup publishes a poll asking Americans \"what do you think is the most important problem facing the country today?\" If Gallup no longer conducts this poll (or an extremely similar one) in 2028, this market will resolve to N/A.\n\nOtherwise, I will find the average (over the 12 months of 2028) of the displayed percentages for the category most specifically referencing abortion and the category most specifically referencing AI. For the current poll, I would consider the category \"advancements of computers/technology\" to be referencing AI. However, if there was an explicit \"AI\" option I would use that one instead. \n\nUpdate 2026-03-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If neither abortion nor AI has a clear category in the Gallup poll, the market resolves N/A. If only one of the two has a clear category, that one is used and the other is treated as having insufficient responses to appear, resolving based on that single category.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.827097,0.172903],"probability":0.827097,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-17T07:16:46.702000Z","end_date":"2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14096.538375311475,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":34.263816833496094,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:40:51.303116Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-24T20:28:51.356845Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Arky/in-2028-will-ai-rank-at-least-as-hi","event_title":"In 2028, will AI rank at least as high as abortion on Gallup's poll of America's most important problem?","chart_24h":[0.827097,0.827097]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/Azi0dYBPnxFq92RRgSje","as_of":"2026-06-10T15:32:39.622288Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"In 2028, will AI rank at least as high as abortion on Gallup's poll of America's most important problem?\" — top market at 83% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}