{"source":"manifold","id":"BMg5bIdTFmRT3Uhwt4XL","ticker":null,"slug":"will-the-us-supreme-court-overturn-8e02b05d2937","title":"Will the US Supreme Court overturn gay marriage [Obergefell v. Hodges] before 2030?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-08-22T23:06:53.378000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":66235.70832411209,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":45.637210845947266,"liquidity":6000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.062375,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will the US Supreme Court overturn gay marriage [Obergefell v. Hodges] before 2030?","top_outcome_probability":0.062375,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T00:50:41.129887Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T00:50:41.129887Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/will-the-us-supreme-court-overturn-8e02b05d2937","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"BMg5bIdTFmRT3Uhwt4XL","event_id":"BMg5bIdTFmRT3Uhwt4XL","slug":"will-the-us-supreme-court-overturn-8e02b05d2937","question":"Will the US Supreme Court overturn gay marriage [Obergefell v. Hodges] before 2030?","group_item_title":null,"description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.062375,0.937625],"probability":0.062375,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-08-22T23:06:53.378000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":66235.70832411209,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":45.637210845947266,"liquidity":6000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-28T14:40:57.248146Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T00:48:54.658263Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/will-the-us-supreme-court-overturn-8e02b05d2937","event_title":"Will the US Supreme Court overturn gay marriage [Obergefell v. Hodges] before 2030?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/BMg5bIdTFmRT3Uhwt4XL","as_of":"2026-09-09T01:17:52.693594Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will the US Supreme Court overturn gay marriage [Obergefell v. Hodges] before 2030?\" — top market at 6% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}