{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/BfGGleFeeM6PZKiYAj5w","as_of":"2026-10-24T08:54:42.096630Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Which of these Four World Leaders in Asia will lose power first?\" — \"Narendra Modi\" leads at 63% across 4 outcomes as of 2026-10-22 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/BfGGleFeeM6PZKiYAj5w","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/which-of-these-four-world-leaders-w"},"source":"manifold","id":"BfGGleFeeM6PZKiYAj5w","ticker":"BfGGleFeeM6PZKiYAj5w","slug":"which-of-these-four-world-leaders-w","title":"Which of these Four World Leaders in Asia will lose power first?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-20T06:24:16.376000Z","end_date":"2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4356.537288270529,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.827287673950195,"liquidity":1180.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["World","Politics"],"tags":["russia","north-korea","india","china","vladimir-putin","narendramodi","kim-jong-un","kim-jongun","xi-jinping","world-default"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Narendra Modi","top_outcome_probability":0.632751,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-22T01:21:20.543674Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-22T01:21:20.543674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/which-of-these-four-world-leaders-w","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":4,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"4796d8b847dd","event_id":"BfGGleFeeM6PZKiYAj5w","slug":null,"question":"Narendra Modi","group_item_title":"Narendra Modi","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.632751,0.367249],"probability":0.632751,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-20T06:24:16.376000Z","end_date":"2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":306.94998932061145,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.076066970825195,"liquidity":508.8675134594813,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["India"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T08:48:45.573340Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T08:48:35.532336Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/which-of-these-four-world-leaders-w","event_title":"Which of these Four World Leaders in Asia will lose power first?","chart_24h":[0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751,0.632751]},{"source":"manifold","id":"3c4eff6c3bc2","event_id":"BfGGleFeeM6PZKiYAj5w","slug":null,"question":"Vladimir Putin","group_item_title":"Vladimir Putin","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.24347,0.75653],"probability":0.24347,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-20T06:24:16.376000Z","end_date":"2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":73.04083430095221,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.81545352935791,"liquidity":228.8675134594813,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T08:48:45.573340Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T08:48:35.532336Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/which-of-these-four-world-leaders-w","event_title":"Which of these Four World Leaders in Asia will lose power first?","chart_24h":[0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347,0.24347]},{"source":"manifold","id":"27fbc4a267e0","event_id":"BfGGleFeeM6PZKiYAj5w","slug":null,"question":"Xi Jinping","group_item_title":"Xi Jinping","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.076381,0.923619],"probability":0.076381,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-20T06:24:16.376000Z","end_date":"2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":6.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.3927441835403442,"liquidity":108.86751345948129,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T08:48:45.573340Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T08:48:35.532336Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/which-of-these-four-world-leaders-w","event_title":"Which of these Four World Leaders in Asia will lose power first?","chart_24h":[0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381,0.076381]},{"source":"manifold","id":"4a86f0939fd7","event_id":"BfGGleFeeM6PZKiYAj5w","slug":null,"question":"Kim Jong Un","group_item_title":"Kim Jong Un","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.047398,0.952602],"probability":0.047398,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-20T06:24:16.376000Z","end_date":"2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":58.99213029485239,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.165477752685547,"liquidity":68.86751345948129,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["North Korea"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T08:48:45.573340Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T08:48:35.532336Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/which-of-these-four-world-leaders-w","event_title":"Which of these Four World Leaders in Asia will lose power first?","chart_24h":[0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398,0.047398]}]}