{"source":"manifold","id":"Bn76fB9rYXMkHsbCs9kZ","ticker":null,"slug":"if-trump-wins-will-marijuana-be-fed","title":"If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?","description":"Resolved in time for 2026 midterm elections.\n\nUpdate 14 Mar 24: This market resolves NA if Trump doesn’t win.\n\nUpdate 15 Mar 24: This market resolves NA if marijuana is removed from Schedule 1 in Biden’s current term.\n\nRelated:\n\n(https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldPolitics/if-harris-wins-will-marijuana-be-fe)","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-10T05:12:12.038000Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":118710.16929215661,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":50.56058883666992,"liquidity":6655.5,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.204341,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?","top_outcome_probability":0.204341,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-07T08:33:05.226113Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T08:33:05.226113Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/BlueDragon/if-trump-wins-will-marijuana-be-fed","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"Bn76fB9rYXMkHsbCs9kZ","event_id":"Bn76fB9rYXMkHsbCs9kZ","slug":"if-trump-wins-will-marijuana-be-fed","question":"If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolved in time for 2026 midterm elections.\n\nUpdate 14 Mar 24: This market resolves NA if Trump doesn’t win.\n\nUpdate 15 Mar 24: This market resolves NA if marijuana is removed from Schedule 1 in Biden’s current term.\n\nRelated:\n\n(https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldPolitics/if-harris-wins-will-marijuana-be-fe)","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.204341,0.795659],"probability":0.204341,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-10T05:12:12.038000Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":118710.16929215661,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":50.56058883666992,"liquidity":6655.5,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-07T08:30:01.858352Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T08:30:01.858352Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/BlueDragon/if-trump-wins-will-marijuana-be-fed","event_title":"If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/Bn76fB9rYXMkHsbCs9kZ","as_of":"2026-09-09T07:00:02.229596Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?\" — top market at 20% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}