{"source":"manifold","id":"BoyJSplho4xCjfsR6f1h","ticker":null,"slug":"will-donald-trump-die-before-joe-bi","title":"Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden?","description":"The date for this market will extend until one of them dies.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-27T17:19:12.243000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":37354.63222076587,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":41.61045837402344,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.316661,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden?","top_outcome_probability":0.316661,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-04T00:51:02.701394Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T00:51:02.701394Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Bruce54df/will-donald-trump-die-before-joe-bi","chart_24h":[0.316661,0.316661],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"BoyJSplho4xCjfsR6f1h","event_id":"BoyJSplho4xCjfsR6f1h","slug":"will-donald-trump-die-before-joe-bi","question":"Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden?","group_item_title":null,"description":"The date for this market will extend until one of them dies.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.316661,0.683339],"probability":0.316661,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-27T17:19:12.243000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":37354.63222076587,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":41.61045837402344,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:36:25.491276Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T00:49:01.447173Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Bruce54df/will-donald-trump-die-before-joe-bi","event_title":"Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden?","chart_24h":[0.316661,0.316661]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/BoyJSplho4xCjfsR6f1h","as_of":"2026-06-10T13:22:10.814798Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden?\" — top market at 32% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}