{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/CTJ5ElyKFZefTYuanu4g","as_of":"2026-10-24T05:17:51.312708Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will a Republican come out as trans in office before 2030?\" — 11% as of 2026-10-23 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/CTJ5ElyKFZefTYuanu4g","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/Nadja_L/will-a-republican-in-office-come-ou"},"source":"manifold","id":"CTJ5ElyKFZefTYuanu4g","ticker":null,"slug":"will-a-republican-in-office-come-ou","title":"Will a Republican come out as trans in office before 2030?","description":"This market resolves YES if a Republican in office comes out as trans before 2030. This includes both stealth trans Republicans and closeted trans Republicans. This market resolves NO if no Republican who is in office comes out as trans, either on the campaign trail or after their term has completed.\n\nEdit: Removed the word currently to remove ambiguity and bring into better alignment with the question.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-07-02T02:33:04.045000Z","end_date":"2031-01-01T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10195.20676143368,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.338157653808594,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.105046,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will a Republican come out as trans in office before 2030?","top_outcome_probability":0.105046,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-500.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T16:36:18.674450Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T16:36:18.674450Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Nadja_L/will-a-republican-in-office-come-ou","chart_24h":[0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"CTJ5ElyKFZefTYuanu4g","event_id":"CTJ5ElyKFZefTYuanu4g","slug":"will-a-republican-in-office-come-ou","question":"Will a Republican come out as trans in office before 2030?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market resolves YES if a Republican in office comes out as trans before 2030. This includes both stealth trans Republicans and closeted trans Republicans. This market resolves NO if no Republican who is in office comes out as trans, either on the campaign trail or after their term has completed.\n\nEdit: Removed the word currently to remove ambiguity and bring into better alignment with the question.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.105046,0.894954],"probability":0.105046,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-07-02T02:33:04.045000Z","end_date":"2031-01-01T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":10195.20676143368,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-500.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.338157653808594,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T16:34:34.897972Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T16:34:34.897972Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Nadja_L/will-a-republican-in-office-come-ou","event_title":"Will a Republican come out as trans in office before 2030?","chart_24h":[0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046,0.105046]}]}