{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/CYNyS04x2UVSxEBR0CXj","as_of":"2026-10-24T09:57:21.420066Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will a sitting US President refuse to follow or ignore a Supreme Court ruling by 2032?\" — 49% as of 2026-10-21 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/CYNyS04x2UVSxEBR0CXj","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/ajtalas/will-a-sitting-us-president-refuse"},"source":"manifold","id":"CYNyS04x2UVSxEBR0CXj","ticker":null,"slug":"will-a-sitting-us-president-refuse","title":"Will a sitting US President refuse to follow or ignore a Supreme Court ruling by 2032?","description":null,"image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/ajtalas%2F3857b82baa9d.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-02-22T03:54:38.666000Z","end_date":"2033-01-01T05:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":17285.794533519682,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.020355224609375,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.489642,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will a sitting US President refuse to follow or ignore a Supreme Court ruling by 2032?","top_outcome_probability":0.489642,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-21T00:34:51.445869Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T00:34:51.445869Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ajtalas/will-a-sitting-us-president-refuse","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"CYNyS04x2UVSxEBR0CXj","event_id":"CYNyS04x2UVSxEBR0CXj","slug":"will-a-sitting-us-president-refuse","question":"Will a sitting US President refuse to follow or ignore a Supreme Court ruling by 2032?","group_item_title":null,"description":null,"image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/ajtalas%2F3857b82baa9d.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.489642,0.510358],"probability":0.489642,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-02-22T03:54:38.666000Z","end_date":"2033-01-01T05:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":17285.794533519682,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.020355224609375,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T00:33:02.072819Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T00:33:02.072819Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ajtalas/will-a-sitting-us-president-refuse","event_title":"Will a sitting US President refuse to follow or ignore a Supreme Court ruling by 2032?","chart_24h":null}]}