{"source":"manifold","id":"CZQncnC8OR","ticker":null,"slug":"will-mitch-mcconnell-be-declared-de","title":"Will Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T01:13:54.347000Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15424.409587350521,"volume_24hr":5.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.515333890914917,"normalized_volume":34.44208908081055,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Other"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.044078,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.044078,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-8.28,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T19:23:54.256051Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T19:23:54.256051Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T11:32:23.081125Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/CombatWombat/will-mitch-mcconnell-be-declared-de","chart_24h":[0.044078,0.044078,0.044078],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"CZQncnC8OR","event_id":"CZQncnC8OR","slug":"will-mitch-mcconnell-be-declared-de","question":"Will Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.044078,0.955922],"probability":0.044078,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T01:13:54.347000Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15424.409587350521,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-8.28,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.515333890914917,"normalized_volume":34.44208908081055,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Other"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T19:23:08.390672Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T19:23:08.390672Z","added_at":"2026-08-20T11:32:23.081125Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/CombatWombat/will-mitch-mcconnell-be-declared-de","event_title":"Will Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.044078,0.044078,0.044078]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/CZQncnC8OR","as_of":"2026-09-08T23:58:14.045750Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?\" — top market at 4% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}