{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/CcysACRQAh","as_of":"2026-10-18T05:03:20.639864Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?\" — 90% as of 2026-10-18 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/CcysACRQAh","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/Tripping/will-a-republican-win-the-us-senate"},"source":"manifold","id":"CcysACRQAh","ticker":null,"slug":"will-a-republican-win-the-us-senate","title":"Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?","description":"If Marco Rubio leaves the Senate, there will be a special election in 2026 to decide who will fill the position for the remaining 2 years of that term. \n\nIf a GOP candidate wins this election, this market resolves yes.\n\nIf a non-GOP candidate wins, the election isn't held, or some other outcome occurs, this market resolves NO. ","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/Tripping/L6lsl092Oy.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-12T20:18:36.162000Z","end_date":"2026-11-11T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":17090.126414769733,"volume_24hr":2783.16650817558,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":61.67108917236328,"normalized_volume":34.948429107666016,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.90006,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.90006,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.00994000000000006,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2783.16650817558,"updated_at":"2026-10-18T04:59:44.214008Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T04:59:44.214008Z","added_at":"2026-10-13T19:05:53.528697Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Tripping/will-a-republican-win-the-us-senate","chart_24h":[0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.90734,0.90734,0.90734,0.909446,0.909446,0.909446,0.909446,0.909446,0.909446,0.909446,0.909446,0.909446,0.909446,0.909446,0.9,0.90006,0.90006,0.90006,0.90006],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"CcysACRQAh","event_id":"CcysACRQAh","slug":"will-a-republican-win-the-us-senate","question":"Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"If Marco Rubio leaves the Senate, there will be a special election in 2026 to decide who will fill the position for the remaining 2 years of that term. \n\nIf a GOP candidate wins this election, this market resolves yes.\n\nIf a non-GOP candidate wins, the election isn't held, or some other outcome occurs, this market resolves NO. ","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/Tripping/L6lsl092Oy.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.90006,0.09994],"probability":0.90006,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-12T20:18:36.162000Z","end_date":"2026-11-11T13:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":17090.126414769733,"volume_24hr":2783.16650817558,"prob_24h_change":-0.00994000000000006,"volume_24h_change":2783.16650817558,"normalized_vol_24hr":61.640869140625,"normalized_volume":34.948429107666016,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T04:58:29.477262Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T04:58:29.477262Z","added_at":"2026-10-13T19:05:53.528697Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Tripping/will-a-republican-win-the-us-senate","event_title":"Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.90734,0.90734,0.90734,0.909446,0.909446,0.909446,0.909446,0.909446,0.909446,0.909446,0.909446,0.909446,0.909446,0.909446,0.9,0.90006,0.90006,0.90006,0.90006]}]}