{"source":"manifold","id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","ticker":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":"which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","description":"Resolves YES for any number of technologies that are widespread enough in 2049 but not in 2024. \n\nResolution criteria:\n\nSignificant Adoption: The technology must be adopted to a degree that indicates it has moved beyond the experimental or niche phase.\n\nOperational Efficiency: The technology should demonstrate reliable and efficient operation in real-world conditions.\n\nRegulatory Approval: If applicable, the technology must receive approval from relevant regulatory bodies.\n\nEconomic Viability: The technology should be commercially viable, with clear economic benefits.\n\nIndependent Verification: The breakthrough should be independently verified by reputable sources. \n\nIf it is unclear whether any given technology meets these requirements before 2050, resolves to some subjective percentage value.\n\nUpdate 2025-07-01 (PST): - True Mind Uploading Definition: Requires a perfect copy of at least some regions of the brain. (AI summary of creator comment)\n\nUpdate 2025-16-01 (PST): - Autonomous Flying Cars: Only air travel capability is required; ground capability is optional. (AI summary of creator comment)\n\nUpdate 2025-18-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Human mind uploading is the complete replication of a human mind's structure, function, and consciousness into a digital or artificial substrate.\n\nIt requires a high-resolution scan of the brain's neural architecture and synaptic connections.\n\nThe uploaded mind must exhibit continuity of identity, memory, and subjective experience.\n\nIt must be indistinguishable from the original mind in terms of cognitive and emotional responses.\n\nThe process must be verifiable through independent scientific validation.\n\nIt should not rely on speculative or unproven assumptions about consciousness.\n\nUpdate 2025-02-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Economic Viability Clarification:\n\nBroader Market Requirement: A technology must demonstrate viability in a wider economic market, not just niche or research settings.\n\nNiche vs. For-Profit: Technologies used solely in government-funded or highly specialized projects (e.g., exclusive use in space missions) are less likely to meet the economic viability needed for significant adoption.\n\nAdoption Beyond Research: Evidence of economic viability should show that the technology is driving widespread use, creating new industries, or significantly improving existing ones, rather than merely transacting sales to research institutions.\n\nOverall Impact: The economic viability criterion is assessed in terms of its contribution to overall significant adoption by 2049.\n\nUpdate 2025-02-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Brain-Computer Interface (BCI) – Human Specificity:\n\nIn this market, BCI is defined strictly in a human-specific context.\n\nAny breakthrough in BCI must be directly applicable to human cognitive enhancement or interaction to be considered for significant adoption.\n\nUpdate 2025-02-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Quantum Computing Applications Clarification:\n\nEvidence that quantum computers achieve quantum advantage by 2049, meaning they solve certain real-world problems significantly faster or more effectively than the best available classical systems.\n\nThis quantum advantage must be demonstrated in commercially relevant applications consistently and reliably.\n\nUpdate 2025-02-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Synthetic Meat Criteria:\n\nMust be indistinguishable by taste from conventional meats (e.g., beef, chicken, pork) as determined by blind taste tests, making it very difficult for typical consumers to reliably differentiate.\n\nFor novel meat types that do not replicate existing meats, resolution depends on whether culinary experts and consumers broadly recognize and accept it as a form of meat.\n\nUpdate 2025-02-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Commercial Viability:\n\nSeafloor mining operations must be commercially viable by demonstrating a significant and measurable contribution to the global supply of at least one critical mineral (e.g., cobalt, nickel, manganese).\n\nSeafloor Mining Robots:\n\nDefined as autonomous or highly automated underwater vehicles capable of navigation and performing core mining functions such as resource collection with minimal real-time human control (supervised autonomy is acceptable).\n\nWidespread Adoption:\n\nBy the end of 2049, the use of seafloor mining robots should be established as an industry standard, ensuring the breakthrough is widely implemented.\n\nUpdate 2025-03-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Time travel breakthrough clarification:\n\nThe technology must be distinctly time-machine-like, meaning it must produce a scenario where an object or individual experiences usefully less elapsed time inside the device as measured by a physical clock (not just a subjective sensation).\n\nAny approach that does not meet this standard, even if it involves relativistic effects or other mechanisms, does not satisfy the resolution criteria for a breakthrough in time travel within this market.\n\nThis criterion must be met in addition to the existing general market requirements.\n\nUpdate 2025-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Desalination Technology Criteria:\n\nCommercial Availability: The technology must be commercially available.\n\nEnergy Efficiency: It must reduce energy consumption for seawater desalination (salinity ~35,000 ppm, recovery rate ≥50%) to below 1.5 kWh per cubic meter.\n\nUpdate 2025-06-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Brain computer interfaces (BCI): Must interface with multiple specific neurons for complex interactions and be a widely adopted regulated medical device.\n\nBioprinting: Must create complex, vascularized tissues (e.g., kidney organoids, heart valves) that can be successfully transplanted and function long-term.\n\nGene editing therapies: Must be for several common conditions and have a cost low enough to be a practical option within major healthcare systems.\n\nRegenerative medicine: Must feature therapies that verifiably reverse damage from a major disease (e.g., regrowing heart muscle after a heart attack, restoring neurons after spinal injury).\n\nUpdate 2025-06-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the Autonomous Flying Cars answer:\n\nThe vehicle's purpose must be human transportation.\n\nA human operator must be able to specify the travel destination.\n\nUpdate 2025-06-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the Time travel to the future answer, it must become a routine and practical method for achieving a real goal.\n\nThis goal can be commercial or non-commercial (e.g., for research).\n\nResearch into the phenomenon of time travel itself will not be considered a valid goal; the technology must be used to achieve a different objective.\n\nUpdate 2025-08-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Cell replacement therapy using synthetic cells clarification:\n\nA synthetic cell is defined as a cell that does not share a common origin with biological cells\n\nNone of its ancestors were the result of mitosis of an organic cell\n\nThe cell can contain structures identical to those of organic cells\n\nOther than DNA, none of the parts may be extracted from living cells\n\nSome structures may be engineered from proteins produced using organic cells, provided those structures are created outside of the organic cells\n\nThis is a much stricter condition than merely enhancing cells\n\nUpdate 2026-03-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Geographic Scope for Adoption: Significant adoption is assessed in the developed world, not globally.\n\nUpdate 2026-04-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For Cancer Vaccine Targeting Multiple Types of Cancer:\n\nThe HPV vaccine does not qualify, as it targets a cause of cancer rather than cancer itself\n\nA qualifying vaccine must directly target cancer, not merely one of its causes\n\nThe vaccine must target multiple types of cancer broadly (not a narrow scope)\n\nUpdate 2026-04-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Cancer vaccines are defined as treatments that specifically target and destroy cancer cells (i.e., therapeutic/treatment vaccines), not merely preventive vaccines that target a cause of cancer.\n\nUpdate 2026-04-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For Humanoid Robots in Service/Logistics Roles: the robot must be bipedal and walking (wheeled bases do not qualify).","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/JuJumper/u5nsdaydv2.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-12T13:39:11.409000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":84040.0468991147,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":48.26469039916992,"liquidity":20000.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":["science-default","futurism","technology-default","megamarket","biotech"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Therapies to reverse cardiovascular diseases","top_outcome_probability":0.96122,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-07T07:32:15.907068Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T07:32:15.907068Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"uRnh0ncIgN","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Therapies to reverse cardiovascular diseases","group_item_title":"Therapies to reverse cardiovascular diseases","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.96122,0.03878],"probability":0.96122,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-07T12:34:35.136000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":173.89236654049827,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.010978698730469,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122,0.96122]},{"source":"manifold","id":"mcl6ihz1k6","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Gene Editing Therapies","group_item_title":"Gene Editing Therapies","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.947426,0.052574],"probability":0.947426,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-12T13:39:11.410000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":161.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.716294288635254,"liquidity":125.00000000000001,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426,0.947426]},{"source":"manifold","id":"yexp6flgru","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Personalized medicine based on patient's genetic profile","group_item_title":"Personalized medicine based on patient's genetic profile","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.93695,0.06305],"probability":0.93695,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-28T20:40:03.932000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":142.39439540102944,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.255899429321289,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695,0.93695]},{"source":"manifold","id":"zO9yt6CE8O","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Autonomous Drone Swarms Dominating Land and Air Combat","group_item_title":"Autonomous Drone Swarms Dominating Land and Air Combat","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.93581,0.06419],"probability":0.93581,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-19T07:05:20.539000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":307.0153449953922,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.325577735900879,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581,0.93581]},{"source":"manifold","id":"e1wfujtkub","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Regenerative Medicine","group_item_title":"Regenerative Medicine","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.9,0.1],"probability":0.9,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-12T13:39:11.410000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14.898181428458408,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.872393846511841,"liquidity":125.00000000000001,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9]},{"source":"manifold","id":"UqgnLqucch","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Heat pumps and solar panels for heating homes","group_item_title":"Heat pumps and solar panels for heating homes","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.88,0.12],"probability":0.88,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-04T06:24:44.038000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":203.59411396046647,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.628365516662598,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88]},{"source":"manifold","id":"bjtw73nabh","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Brain-Computer Interfaces","group_item_title":"Brain-Computer Interfaces","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.876343,0.123657],"probability":0.876343,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-12T13:39:11.410000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":54.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.0281805992126465,"liquidity":125.00000000000001,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343,0.876343]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9PpdCRzOI6","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Humanoid Robots in Service/Logistics Roles","group_item_title":"Humanoid Robots in Service/Logistics Roles","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.85721,0.14279],"probability":0.85721,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-03-31T09:30:23.052000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":35.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.820529937744141,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721,0.85721]},{"source":"manifold","id":"6ggjujks7u","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Bioprinting","group_item_title":"Bioprinting","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.84378,0.15622],"probability":0.84378,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-12T13:39:11.410000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30.50095564121473,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.468050479888916,"liquidity":125.00000000000001,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378,0.84378]},{"source":"manifold","id":"qUQz0AhRth","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Synthetic Meat Indistinguishable from Real Meat","group_item_title":"Synthetic Meat Indistinguishable from Real Meat","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.842412,0.157588],"probability":0.842412,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-09T17:35:01.811000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":142.65664721406992,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.262712478637695,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412,0.842412]},{"source":"manifold","id":"w28evrfipi","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Solar panels with 40% efficiency","group_item_title":"Solar panels with 40% efficiency","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.835506,0.164494],"probability":0.835506,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-12T13:39:11.410000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.4794750213623047,"liquidity":125.00000000000001,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506,0.835506]},{"source":"manifold","id":"IC6yCcdyO0","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Therapies to reverse neurodegenerative diseases","group_item_title":"Therapies to reverse neurodegenerative diseases","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.831052,0.168948],"probability":0.831052,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-07T12:34:18.763000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":121.11163216739143,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.666635513305664,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052,0.831052]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Sh5yRnP8gZ","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Transoceanic fully autonomous container crossing without onboard crew","group_item_title":"Transoceanic fully autonomous container crossing without onboard crew","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.811797,0.188203],"probability":0.811797,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-06-22T21:48:53.830000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":375.9408768345544,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.209628105163574,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797,0.811797]},{"source":"manifold","id":"00hp5AdOzt","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Fully Autonomous Cargo Ships","group_item_title":"Fully Autonomous Cargo Ships","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.809615,0.190385],"probability":0.809615,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-06T06:29:55.033000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":200.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.5576810836792,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615,0.809615]},{"source":"manifold","id":"znu00y2P56","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"viable cloned organs using your own DNA as base (i.e. no autoimmune organ rejection)","group_item_title":"viable cloned organs using your own DNA as base (i.e. no autoimmune organ rejection)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.773987,0.226013],"probability":0.773987,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-01T10:20:07.363000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":125.83519086212596,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.804086685180664,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987,0.773987]},{"source":"manifold","id":"RU0UNSCu8d","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Artificial Photosynthesis (10% efficiency in converting sunlight to chemical energy)","group_item_title":"Artificial Photosynthesis (10% efficiency in converting sunlight to chemical energy)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.773665,0.226335],"probability":0.773665,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-25T23:15:47.190000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":39.00000000000006,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.108157634735107,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665,0.773665]},{"source":"manifold","id":"hifoo1k132","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Human-level AGI","group_item_title":"Human-level AGI","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.764579,0.235421],"probability":0.764579,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-26T09:13:36.215000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1858.572582041702,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.273862838745117,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579,0.764579]},{"source":"manifold","id":"q5sZzzISdC","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Solid-state EV batteries ≥ 500 Wh/kg in mass-produced cars ","group_item_title":"Solid-state EV batteries ≥ 500 Wh/kg in mass-produced cars ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.758536,0.241464],"probability":0.758536,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-06-22T21:47:55.992000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":54.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.0281805992126465,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536,0.758536]},{"source":"manifold","id":"yzQntqS9qP","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Desalination with Energy Consumption Below 1.5 kWh/m³","group_item_title":"Desalination with Energy Consumption Below 1.5 kWh/m³","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.751032,0.248968],"probability":0.751032,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-03-03T23:00:29.175000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":90.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.638251781463623,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032,0.751032]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5SIIqh6956","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"A Specific ‘Longevity Drug’ or Defined Drug Combination that Extends Average Human Healthspan by at Least 10 Years ","group_item_title":"A Specific ‘Longevity Drug’ or Defined Drug Combination that Extends Average Human Healthspan by at Least 10 Years ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.25],"probability":0.75,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-08T19:34:58.549000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":188.2492756894664,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.319195747375488,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75]},{"source":"manifold","id":"AddzIpCQR0","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Space-Based Manufacturing","group_item_title":"Space-Based Manufacturing","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.25],"probability":0.75,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-20T18:16:59.484000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":95.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.820470809936523,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75]},{"source":"manifold","id":"OngsZuQQZC","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Seafloor Mining Robots","group_item_title":"Seafloor Mining Robots","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.735942,0.264058],"probability":0.735942,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-11T17:40:03.152000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":208.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.713650703430176,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942,0.735942]},{"source":"manifold","id":"hNysl9quns","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Cancer Vaccine Targeting Multiple Types of Cancer","group_item_title":"Cancer Vaccine Targeting Multiple Types of Cancer","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.727518,0.272482],"probability":0.727518,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-06T06:33:19.694000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1079.8548805818332,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.31771469116211,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518,0.727518]},{"source":"manifold","id":"qya98tot01","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Quantum Computing Applications","group_item_title":"Quantum Computing Applications","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.69792,0.30208],"probability":0.69792,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-12T13:39:11.410000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":102.20278603424984,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.070353507995605,"liquidity":125.00000000000001,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792,0.69792]},{"source":"manifold","id":"y2p9UsOEzc","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Non-invasive colon cancer screening that is equally or more effective than a Colonoscopy","group_item_title":"Non-invasive colon cancer screening that is equally or more effective than a Colonoscopy","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.695422,0.304578],"probability":0.695422,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-20T14:53:37.396000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":88.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.563176155090332,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422,0.695422]},{"source":"manifold","id":"zIh5QR0gPN","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Graphene semiconductor electronics","group_item_title":"Graphene semiconductor electronics","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.686792,0.313208],"probability":0.686792,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-12T09:25:50.440000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":248.1569383308227,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.430147171020508,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792,0.686792]},{"source":"manifold","id":"lg2S5gdnd6","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Nanorobots for Precision Drug Delivery","group_item_title":"Nanorobots for Precision Drug Delivery","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.68,0.32],"probability":0.68,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-15T11:12:53.420000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":84.57977991629876,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.431694507598877,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68]},{"source":"manifold","id":"81a99wh1kz","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Lunar Bases","group_item_title":"Lunar Bases","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.674058,0.325942],"probability":0.674058,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-12T13:39:11.410000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":661.5141260761756,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.840649604797363,"liquidity":125.00000000000001,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058,0.674058]},{"source":"manifold","id":"2NCnp8IQyE","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Moon base","group_item_title":"Moon base","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.665009,0.334991],"probability":0.665009,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-21T15:57:17.167000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":220.87883876345046,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.954830169677734,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States","China"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009,0.665009]},{"source":"manifold","id":"nSQZQhuUqc","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Self-Healing Materials for Infrastructure","group_item_title":"Self-Healing Materials for Infrastructure","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.661645,0.338355],"probability":0.661645,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-06T06:31:48.367000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":68.09717306238711,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.734224319458008,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645,0.661645]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9In9P5h9AI","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Male pattern baldness treatment that consistently turns Nowood 7 to Norwood 1 (no surgery/grafts)","group_item_title":"Male pattern baldness treatment that consistently turns Nowood 7 to Norwood 1 (no surgery/grafts)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.641311,0.358689],"probability":0.641311,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-01T03:23:54.338000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":175.7966369668167,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.053009033203125,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311,0.641311]},{"source":"manifold","id":"dCydsySQLu","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Advanced Exoskeletons for Everyday Use","group_item_title":"Advanced Exoskeletons for Everyday Use","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.64,0.36],"probability":0.64,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-10T19:06:50.764000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1320.5191462642965,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.387184143066406,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64]},{"source":"manifold","id":"PSnS9p2OZI","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Major resurgence of lighter than air craft for shipping or consumer travel/leisure","group_item_title":"Major resurgence of lighter than air craft for shipping or consumer travel/leisure","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.60697,0.39303],"probability":0.60697,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-14T19:03:15.639000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":55.16780137396137,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.09155797958374,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697,0.60697]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5ddOLuS0Q9","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Britain finishes HS2","group_item_title":"Britain finishes HS2","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.581391,0.418609],"probability":0.581391,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-06-24T08:48:33.606000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49.66666666666668,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.783810138702393,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391,0.581391]},{"source":"manifold","id":"q6cPSICNu9","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"More than half of all commercial ships built between 2030-2050 have the option to supplement their power burn with wind power (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9R6ln7pr5QU)","group_item_title":"More than half of all commercial ships built between 2030-2050 have the option to supplement their power burn with wind power (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9R6ln7pr5QU)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.55,0.45],"probability":0.55,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-13T23:02:31.255000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":143.4719230478202,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.283829689025879,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55]},{"source":"manifold","id":"SuSdUztqL2","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Photonic computing","group_item_title":"Photonic computing","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.528636,0.471364],"probability":0.528636,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-12T09:25:05.063000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":107.04980730307452,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.230914115905762,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636,0.528636]},{"source":"manifold","id":"l9zzQRsPq9","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Smart Contact Lenses with AR Capabilities","group_item_title":"Smart Contact Lenses with AR Capabilities","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.519527,0.480473],"probability":0.519527,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-16T15:21:46.717000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":434.5477475039315,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.86108684539795,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527,0.519527]},{"source":"manifold","id":"hhjc3s77bp","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Commercial asteroid mining","group_item_title":"Commercial asteroid mining","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-20T13:03:26.111000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":329.6562963209756,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.632607460021973,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51]},{"source":"manifold","id":"hP5PgR9yI2","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Datacenters in space","group_item_title":"Datacenters in space","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.499795,0.500205],"probability":0.499795,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-14T06:31:36.312000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":694.7044692508989,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.0799503326416,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795,0.499795]},{"source":"manifold","id":"dcbhsfpfli","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":" Artificial Wombs for Human Gestation (from conception to birth)","group_item_title":" Artificial Wombs for Human Gestation (from conception to birth)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.493234,0.506766],"probability":0.493234,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-29T12:47:56.797000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":525.9496199209442,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.743795394897461,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234,0.493234]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8lISlOpyUS","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Sand Batteries (Polar Night Energy) to store energy for months.","group_item_title":"Sand Batteries (Polar Night Energy) to store energy for months.","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.452489,0.547511],"probability":0.452489,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T18:51:46.560000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.158419132232666,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["Finland"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T19:01:53.075910Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489]},{"source":"manifold","id":"R0P8sOhAdy","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Hypersonic commercial passenger travel","group_item_title":"Hypersonic commercial passenger travel","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.448242,0.551758],"probability":0.448242,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-12T11:32:20.356000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1013.5424631152307,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.987167358398438,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242,0.448242]},{"source":"manifold","id":"nRz8ccdnZs","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Joywire","group_item_title":"Joywire","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.43145,0.56855],"probability":0.43145,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-09T18:32:40.982000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":65.10137982923442,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.594015598297119,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145,0.43145]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ngLd9CRU2q","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Nuclear powered cargo ships","group_item_title":"Nuclear powered cargo ships","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.425478,0.574522],"probability":0.425478,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-05T09:16:56.124000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":100.55415967851334,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.014392852783203,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478,0.425478]},{"source":"manifold","id":"96SnR2qs8A","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Room-Temperature Atmospheric-Pressure Superconductors","group_item_title":"Room-Temperature Atmospheric-Pressure Superconductors","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.424895,0.575105],"probability":0.424895,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-04T05:13:14.141000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.803150653839111,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895,0.424895]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ES9ASRtUz2","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Fast travel across the globe","group_item_title":"Fast travel across the globe","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.410803,0.589197],"probability":0.410803,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-31T18:15:11.274000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":81.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.2896409034729,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803,0.410803]},{"source":"manifold","id":"nSdyqLu8nl","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"AI that produces AAA-level video games via end-user prompts","group_item_title":"AI that produces AAA-level video games via end-user prompts","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-01T16:08:37.421000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3126.6129076434304,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.313867568969727,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4]},{"source":"manifold","id":"13se6uxyn6","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Commercial fusion power","group_item_title":"Commercial fusion power","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.395655,0.604345],"probability":0.395655,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-12T13:39:11.410000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":877.7876410731948,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.248371124267578,"liquidity":125.00000000000001,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655,0.395655]},{"source":"manifold","id":"cCPqESIlnA","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Medication that adds 30 lbs+ muscle with no major negative health effects ","group_item_title":"Medication that adds 30 lbs+ muscle with no major negative health effects ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.386973,0.613027],"probability":0.386973,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-01T03:26:55.880000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":274.6580504506654,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.852728843688965,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973,0.386973]},{"source":"manifold","id":"O5Z6I9zOs5","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Point-to-Point Suborbital Spaceflight (Regularly Scheduled Passenger Transport)","group_item_title":"Point-to-Point Suborbital Spaceflight (Regularly Scheduled Passenger Transport)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.381661,0.618339],"probability":0.381661,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-05T15:41:13.332000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":147.93140705380753,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.39768123626709,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661,0.381661]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Q8lCnZEIZ8","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Mars Base","group_item_title":"Mars Base","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.376524,0.623476],"probability":0.376524,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-18T14:29:09.522000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":365.05316829081653,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.079416275024414,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524,0.376524]},{"source":"manifold","id":"CUhL2Udp9U","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Nuclear microreactors that can be used anywhere ","group_item_title":"Nuclear microreactors that can be used anywhere ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.372525,0.627475],"probability":0.372525,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-21T13:42:35.973000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":298.05154779404313,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.198850631713867,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525,0.372525]},{"source":"manifold","id":"sLqcI6ndls","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"City-scale fully automated underground logistics networks","group_item_title":"City-scale fully automated underground logistics networks","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.37,0.63],"probability":0.37,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-07T12:29:14.273000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":306.1855120164808,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.313974380493164,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37]},{"source":"manifold","id":"lRc8Ps5t0U","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Nuclear Thermal Rockets","group_item_title":"Nuclear Thermal Rockets","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.349279,0.650721],"probability":0.349279,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-18T16:28:55.929000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":23.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.791384696960449,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279,0.349279]},{"source":"manifold","id":"3i5ory1w4y","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Cryonics with Successful Revival","group_item_title":"Cryonics with Successful Revival","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.342473,0.657527],"probability":0.342473,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-09-02T17:51:58.605000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":308.29716598812354,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.343449592590332,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473,0.342473]},{"source":"manifold","id":"uN6yyZA0Q0","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Biohybrid Robots with Living Muscle Tissue","group_item_title":"Biohybrid Robots with Living Muscle Tissue","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.34,0.66],"probability":0.34,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-28T05:25:30.594000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":394.19437013392206,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.421075820922852,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34]},{"source":"manifold","id":"h65zcdc97n","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Universal Flu Vaccine (effictive against all current and future strains)","group_item_title":"Universal Flu Vaccine (effictive against all current and future strains)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.316782,0.683218],"probability":0.316782,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-29T16:52:57.319000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":227.6524153289198,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.077132225036621,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782,0.316782]},{"source":"manifold","id":"sAQ9ztd2SR","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Food with bioengineered saturated fat that doesn't raise cholesterol","group_item_title":"Food with bioengineered saturated fat that doesn't raise cholesterol","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.305379,0.694621],"probability":0.305379,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-28T21:36:56.227000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21.58732339086688,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.6480207443237305,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379,0.305379]},{"source":"manifold","id":"82sOOdOgAq","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Self-Actuating Metamaterials for Adaptive Structures in Buildings and Infrastructure","group_item_title":"Self-Actuating Metamaterials for Adaptive Structures in Buildings and Infrastructure","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.301542,0.698458],"probability":0.301542,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-18T16:25:06.600000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.176772594451904,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542,0.301542]},{"source":"manifold","id":"6sZt0t0ht6","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Commercial satellite to ground power transmission","group_item_title":"Commercial satellite to ground power transmission","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.298388,0.701612],"probability":0.298388,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-08T19:23:30.210000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":62.0537948447364,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.4463276863098145,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388,0.298388]},{"source":"manifold","id":"lC0OcsZ0Ey","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Von Neumann Probe","group_item_title":"Von Neumann Probe","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.293543,0.706457],"probability":0.293543,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-12T21:09:49.010000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":72.10316975535301,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.914628028869629,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543,0.293543]},{"source":"manifold","id":"d8CR8hl8pQ","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Changing the height of an adult at will","group_item_title":"Changing the height of an adult at will","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.285119,0.714881],"probability":0.285119,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-06-08T08:54:51.333000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":333.7670414703644,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.68647575378418,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119,0.285119]},{"source":"manifold","id":"PCLlUhtcI8","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Orbital Habitats","group_item_title":"Orbital Habitats","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.74],"probability":0.26,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-13T21:50:17.923000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":29.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.34249210357666,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26]},{"source":"manifold","id":"EOnutcSySc","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Self-Replicating Fully-Automated Factories","group_item_title":"Self-Replicating Fully-Automated Factories","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.257695,0.742305],"probability":0.257695,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-13T23:12:24.811000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":54.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.0281805992126465,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695,0.257695]},{"source":"manifold","id":"NIuqSPQq29","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Fusion Drives","group_item_title":"Fusion Drives","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.257557,0.742443],"probability":0.257557,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-13T23:12:53.699000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":105.16173409059184,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.16905689239502,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557,0.257557]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8CzR9RE2Lz","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Engineered Symbiotic Microorganism Implants for Human Physiological Augmentation","group_item_title":"Engineered Symbiotic Microorganism Implants for Human Physiological Augmentation","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.255876,0.744124],"probability":0.255876,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-19T07:38:12.531000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":151.7499347932154,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.493021011352539,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876,0.255876]},{"source":"manifold","id":"dlv5vvij5r","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Space-to-Earth power stations","group_item_title":"Space-to-Earth power stations","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.253969,0.746031],"probability":0.253969,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-27T20:55:14.667000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":655.4817864244311,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.79607105255127,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969,0.253969]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ynh2P9nZs6","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Direct Cognitive Collaboration","group_item_title":"Direct Cognitive Collaboration","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.25304,0.74696],"probability":0.25304,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-26T12:45:25.847000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.426624774932861,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304,0.25304]},{"source":"manifold","id":"gw6rpw6dre","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Human Mind Uploading","group_item_title":"Human Mind Uploading","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-22T23:25:06.802000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1156.6946674331891,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.679668426513672,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25]},{"source":"manifold","id":"6UzP6ynhtL","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Space probes travelling at >=1% speed of light","group_item_title":"Space probes travelling at >=1% speed of light","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.245743,0.754257],"probability":0.245743,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-13T23:15:14.255000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":130.34958029612238,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.931706428527832,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743,0.245743]},{"source":"manifold","id":"se7uiugeoa","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Autonomous Flying Cars in Cities","group_item_title":"Autonomous Flying Cars in Cities","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.212441,0.787559],"probability":0.212441,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-31T20:23:36.791000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":814.5684849715257,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.870521545410156,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441,0.212441]},{"source":"manifold","id":"dpsL8QOQyp","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Cell replacement therapy using synthetic cells","group_item_title":"Cell replacement therapy using synthetic cells","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.20574,0.79426],"probability":0.20574,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-13T23:20:28.798000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.077620029449463,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574,0.20574]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Eycc9Ayylh","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"A skyhook space structure in LEO","group_item_title":"A skyhook space structure in LEO","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.205276,0.794724],"probability":0.205276,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-02T12:06:00.816000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":61.60669508618601,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.42420768737793,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276,0.205276]},{"source":"manifold","id":"O0Rschl0zn","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Human sex change at chromosome level","group_item_title":"Human sex change at chromosome level","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-13T23:19:39.414000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":122.97691138053182,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.721407890319824,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Rc2UN8lA66","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Human Missions to Mars with Round-Trip Travel Time Under 6 Months","group_item_title":"Human Missions to Mars with Round-Trip Travel Time Under 6 Months","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.182191,0.817809],"probability":0.182191,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-08T19:25:02.751000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":76.88935601603485,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.120481967926025,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191,0.182191]},{"source":"manifold","id":"CQc2hRp6Ns","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Changing a person's race at will","group_item_title":"Changing a person's race at will","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.162941,0.837059],"probability":0.162941,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-06-08T08:55:10.667000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":81.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.2896409034729,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941,0.162941]},{"source":"manifold","id":"tEQ0h2lhI5","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Room-Temperature Superconducting Transmission Lines in Urban Power Grids","group_item_title":"Room-Temperature Superconducting Transmission Lines in Urban Power Grids","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.139135,0.860865],"probability":0.139135,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-08T19:21:29.515000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":35.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.820529937744141,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135,0.139135]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5dQdAuU5z6","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Vacuum Airships","group_item_title":"Vacuum Airships","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.101156,0.898844],"probability":0.101156,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-13T23:24:25.628000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.4794750213623047,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156,0.101156]},{"source":"manifold","id":"i963wybl1h","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Time travel to the future","group_item_title":"Time travel to the future","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.077457,0.922543],"probability":0.077457,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-24T13:45:31.647000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":224.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.011558532714844,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457,0.077457]},{"source":"manifold","id":"zdgNhhLh5S","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"1% Dyson sphere coverage ","group_item_title":"1% Dyson sphere coverage ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.059746,0.940254],"probability":0.059746,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-06-25T15:38:17.716000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":676.8130371186367,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.95218563079834,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746,0.059746]},{"source":"manifold","id":"AEu9OCPI2y","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Space Elevator","group_item_title":"Space Elevator","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.059293,0.940707],"probability":0.059293,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-20T18:18:10.055000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":132.12213116961394,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.980863571166992,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293,0.059293]},{"source":"manifold","id":"tUZI5PN8lR","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Quantum Sensors Enabling Detection of Cancer Years Before Symptoms","group_item_title":"Quantum Sensors Enabling Detection of Cancer Years Before Symptoms","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.059244,0.940756],"probability":0.059244,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-26T12:08:10.874000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":220.5471854206865,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.94876480102539,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244,0.059244]},{"source":"manifold","id":"phn3vt2pgo","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Commercial cold fusion","group_item_title":"Commercial cold fusion","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.058064,0.941936],"probability":0.058064,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-24T00:01:52.360000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":424.94507194067404,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.759565353393555,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064,0.058064]},{"source":"manifold","id":"C959q0P0q6","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Temporal Cloaking Device (Hiding Events in Time)","group_item_title":"Temporal Cloaking Device (Hiding Events in Time)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.047198,0.952802],"probability":0.047198,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-19T07:30:53.494000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.803150653839111,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198,0.047198]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0SsCt20CCC","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Antimatter bombs","group_item_title":"Antimatter bombs","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.045527,0.954473],"probability":0.045527,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-06-23T21:19:27.956000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5210.86100537022,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.4973087310791,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527,0.045527]},{"source":"manifold","id":"U62t6uc98U","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Reality Anchoring Device (Stabilizing Subjective Reality)","group_item_title":"Reality Anchoring Device (Stabilizing Subjective Reality)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.040951,0.959049],"probability":0.040951,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-19T07:32:25.593000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.803150653839111,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951,0.040951]},{"source":"manifold","id":"tnsCt56n2P","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Faster then Light Propulsion","group_item_title":"Faster then Light Propulsion","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.036423,0.963577],"probability":0.036423,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-07T08:11:13.049000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5623.718628845927,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.989337921142578,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423,0.036423]},{"source":"manifold","id":"gdp8r2e6ql","event_id":"DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","slug":null,"question":"Time travel to the past","group_item_title":"Time travel to the past","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.02296,0.97704],"probability":0.02296,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-24T13:45:41.196000Z","end_date":"2050-12-01T20:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1256.9008194386345,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.12190055847168,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T18:05:07.580218Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T18:03:51.769402Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil","event_title":"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]","chart_24h":[0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296,0.02296]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY","as_of":"2026-06-10T18:06:56.311190Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]\" — top market at 96% probability across 88 outcomes","source_url":null}}