{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/Dd6cIaOO5cHHZ6qjh59M","as_of":"2026-10-24T09:10:31.651301Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will we develop Leopold's  'drop-in remote AI workers' by end of 2027?\" — 72% as of 2026-10-21 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/Dd6cIaOO5cHHZ6qjh59M","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-we-develop-leopolds-dropin-rem"},"source":"manifold","id":"Dd6cIaOO5cHHZ6qjh59M","ticker":null,"slug":"will-we-develop-leopolds-dropin-rem","title":"Will we develop Leopold's  'drop-in remote AI workers' by end of 2027?","description":"Resolves to YES if we have public knowledge by 12/24/27 of a company or other entity having created something that roughly equates to the 'drop-in remote worker' described in the paper Situational Awareness, or is otherwise similarly or more capable. It need not be available to the public, if it is being used only internally.\n\nResolves to NO if this is not the case.\n\nIf Leopold Aschenbrenner says this did or did not happen I will abide by his observation. If he does not do so, I will use my best judgment.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-10T19:37:29.047000Z","end_date":"2027-12-25T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":156837.50374246933,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":52.638553619384766,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.724238,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will we develop Leopold's  'drop-in remote AI workers' by end of 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.724238,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-21T12:35:57.529350Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T12:35:57.529350Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-we-develop-leopolds-dropin-rem","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"Dd6cIaOO5cHHZ6qjh59M","event_id":"Dd6cIaOO5cHHZ6qjh59M","slug":"will-we-develop-leopolds-dropin-rem","question":"Will we develop Leopold's  'drop-in remote AI workers' by end of 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves to YES if we have public knowledge by 12/24/27 of a company or other entity having created something that roughly equates to the 'drop-in remote worker' described in the paper Situational Awareness, or is otherwise similarly or more capable. It need not be available to the public, if it is being used only internally.\n\nResolves to NO if this is not the case.\n\nIf Leopold Aschenbrenner says this did or did not happen I will abide by his observation. If he does not do so, I will use my best judgment.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.724238,0.275762],"probability":0.724238,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-10T19:37:29.047000Z","end_date":"2027-12-25T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":156837.50374246933,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":52.638553619384766,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-21T12:33:52.723286Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-21T12:33:52.723286Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-we-develop-leopolds-dropin-rem","event_title":"Will we develop Leopold's  'drop-in remote AI workers' by end of 2027?","chart_24h":null}]}