{"source":"manifold","id":"EgcNhE6QgC","ticker":"EgcNhE6QgC","slug":"if-an-ai-system-is-responsible-for","title":"If an AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame?","description":"Clarifications:\n\nIf there are multiple events where an AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by end of 2027, the market will resolve to the AI company responsible for the first such event.\n\nIf no AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by end of 2027, this market will resolve to N/A (not to a \"no event\" option).\n\nThe market is not limited to LLMs only. Other AI companies such as Anduril or Palantir are also eligible for resolution.\n\nResponsibility determination involves judgment calls by the creator. \n\nChinese AI labs such as Baidu, Tencent, and Moonshot are eligible for resolution as potential AI companies that could be held responsible.\n\nReaders can also find the unconditional question here: <https://manifold.markets/EvanDaniel/if-an-ai-system-is-causes-the-death>\n\nUpdate 2026-01-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Ongoing processes that slowly accumulate casualties (such as AI systems used by health insurance companies to deny care) do not meet the creator's threshold for this market's resolution criteria.\n\nUpdate 2026-01-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Discrete events are not required for resolution. 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