{"source":"manifold","id":"EjeOUZco6OWRYbrJ20YB","ticker":null,"slug":"will-elon-musk-get-more-than-half-o","title":"Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package","description":"In a shareholder lawsuit, a Delaware judge struck down Elon Musk’s 2018 $55 billion dollar pay package.\n\nThis will resolve true if the ruling is overturned on appeal and Elon keeps the original package, or if after the lawsuit is resolved the board/shareholders of Tesla approve a replacement package worth more than $27.5 billion.  This will resolve false if the package is not replaced.\n\nIf there is a future oriented package that also purports to replace 2018 compensation, I will use my best judgement to resolve this market.\n\nhttps://www.theverge.com/2024/1/30/24056177/elon-musk-tesla-tornetta-55-billion-pay-package-rejected","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/tr%2Fab2c9171eb3e.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-31T16:19:12.325000Z","end_date":"2030-01-02T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":32421.809411256152,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":40.478729248046875,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.992065,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package","top_outcome_probability":0.992065,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-14T01:00:28.219142Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T01:00:28.219142Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/tr/will-elon-musk-get-more-than-half-o","chart_24h":[0.992065,0.992065],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"EjeOUZco6OWRYbrJ20YB","event_id":"EjeOUZco6OWRYbrJ20YB","slug":"will-elon-musk-get-more-than-half-o","question":"Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package","group_item_title":null,"description":"In a shareholder lawsuit, a Delaware judge struck down Elon Musk’s 2018 $55 billion dollar pay package.\n\nThis will resolve true if the ruling is overturned on appeal and Elon keeps the original package, or if after the lawsuit is resolved the board/shareholders of Tesla approve a replacement package worth more than $27.5 billion.  This will resolve false if the package is not replaced.\n\nIf there is a future oriented package that also purports to replace 2018 compensation, I will use my best judgement to resolve this market.\n\nhttps://www.theverge.com/2024/1/30/24056177/elon-musk-tesla-tornetta-55-billion-pay-package-rejected","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/tr%2Fab2c9171eb3e.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.992065,0.007935],"probability":0.992065,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-31T16:19:12.325000Z","end_date":"2030-01-02T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":32421.809411256152,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":40.478729248046875,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T17:09:33.612819Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-14T00:59:39.849671Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/tr/will-elon-musk-get-more-than-half-o","event_title":"Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package","chart_24h":[0.992065,0.992065]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/EjeOUZco6OWRYbrJ20YB","as_of":"2026-07-01T10:00:36.317526Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package\" — top market at 99% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}