{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/EjeOUZco6OWRYbrJ20YB","as_of":"2026-10-23T12:50:55.280638Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package\" — 99% as of 2026-10-11 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/EjeOUZco6OWRYbrJ20YB","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/tr/will-elon-musk-get-more-than-half-o"},"source":"manifold","id":"EjeOUZco6OWRYbrJ20YB","ticker":null,"slug":"will-elon-musk-get-more-than-half-o","title":"Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package","description":"In a shareholder lawsuit, a Delaware judge struck down Elon Musk’s 2018 $55 billion dollar pay package.\n\nThis will resolve true if the ruling is overturned on appeal and Elon keeps the original package, or if after the lawsuit is resolved the board/shareholders of Tesla approve a replacement package worth more than $27.5 billion.  This will resolve false if the package is not replaced.\n\nIf there is a future oriented package that also purports to replace 2018 compensation, I will use my best judgement to resolve this market.\n\nhttps://www.theverge.com/2024/1/30/24056177/elon-musk-tesla-tornetta-55-billion-pay-package-rejected","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/tr%2Fab2c9171eb3e.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-31T16:19:12.325000Z","end_date":"2030-01-02T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":32530.80897317316,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.711883544921875,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.991985,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package","top_outcome_probability":0.991985,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-11T08:16:11.332414Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T08:16:11.332414Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/tr/will-elon-musk-get-more-than-half-o","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"EjeOUZco6OWRYbrJ20YB","event_id":"EjeOUZco6OWRYbrJ20YB","slug":"will-elon-musk-get-more-than-half-o","question":"Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package","group_item_title":null,"description":"In a shareholder lawsuit, a Delaware judge struck down Elon Musk’s 2018 $55 billion dollar pay package.\n\nThis will resolve true if the ruling is overturned on appeal and Elon keeps the original package, or if after the lawsuit is resolved the board/shareholders of Tesla approve a replacement package worth more than $27.5 billion.  This will resolve false if the package is not replaced.\n\nIf there is a future oriented package that also purports to replace 2018 compensation, I will use my best judgement to resolve this market.\n\nhttps://www.theverge.com/2024/1/30/24056177/elon-musk-tesla-tornetta-55-billion-pay-package-rejected","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/tr%2Fab2c9171eb3e.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.991985,0.008015],"probability":0.991985,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-31T16:19:12.325000Z","end_date":"2030-01-02T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":32530.80897317316,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.711883544921875,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T08:15:30.972810Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T08:15:30.972810Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/tr/will-elon-musk-get-more-than-half-o","event_title":"Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package","chart_24h":null}]}