{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/HHwqwVyIDnFdaeDayw8p","as_of":"2026-10-24T06:10:13.928050Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will a nuclear bomb be detonated somewhere in the world before 2033?\" — 61% as of 2026-10-10 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/HHwqwVyIDnFdaeDayw8p","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/Lawdog/will-a-nuclear-bomb-be-detonated-so"},"source":"manifold","id":"HHwqwVyIDnFdaeDayw8p","ticker":null,"slug":"will-a-nuclear-bomb-be-detonated-so","title":"Will a nuclear bomb be detonated somewhere in the world before 2033?","description":"Market will resolve when there are verified reports of a nuclear detonation for any reason. But it must be a weapon that was detonated and not some sort of accident. ","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-14T03:42:07.347000Z","end_date":"2034-01-14T17:02:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9630.199197674772,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.947538375854492,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["World"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.611811,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will a nuclear bomb be detonated somewhere in the world before 2033?","top_outcome_probability":0.611811,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-10T08:27:21.379451Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-10T08:27:21.379451Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Lawdog/will-a-nuclear-bomb-be-detonated-so","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"HHwqwVyIDnFdaeDayw8p","event_id":"HHwqwVyIDnFdaeDayw8p","slug":"will-a-nuclear-bomb-be-detonated-so","question":"Will a nuclear bomb be detonated somewhere in the world before 2033?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Market will resolve when there are verified reports of a nuclear detonation for any reason. But it must be a weapon that was detonated and not some sort of accident. ","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.611811,0.388189],"probability":0.611811,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-14T03:42:07.347000Z","end_date":"2034-01-14T17:02:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":9630.199197674772,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.947538375854492,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-10T08:26:14.377131Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-10T08:26:14.377131Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Lawdog/will-a-nuclear-bomb-be-detonated-so","event_title":"Will a nuclear bomb be detonated somewhere in the world before 2033?","chart_24h":null}]}