{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/Hw8J01pdUUQ61BtrWEET","as_of":"2026-10-24T08:35:33.680862Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will a member of the Straw Hat crew die before they find the One Piece?\" — 50% as of 2026-08-30 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/Hw8J01pdUUQ61BtrWEET","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/dwax/will-a-member-of-the-straw-hat-crew"},"source":"manifold","id":"Hw8J01pdUUQ61BtrWEET","ticker":null,"slug":"will-a-member-of-the-straw-hat-crew","title":"Will a member of the Straw Hat crew die before they find the One Piece?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-02-16T23:44:28.424000Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":24895.72833727971,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":37.68778610229492,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.50454,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will a member of the Straw Hat crew die before they find the One Piece?","top_outcome_probability":0.50454,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-30T10:52:25.844234Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-30T10:52:25.844234Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/dwax/will-a-member-of-the-straw-hat-crew","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"Hw8J01pdUUQ61BtrWEET","event_id":"Hw8J01pdUUQ61BtrWEET","slug":"will-a-member-of-the-straw-hat-crew","question":"Will a member of the Straw Hat crew die before they find the One Piece?","group_item_title":null,"description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.50454,0.49546],"probability":0.50454,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-02-16T23:44:28.424000Z","end_date":"2100-01-01T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":24895.72833727971,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":37.68778610229492,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-30T10:50:50.646930Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-30T10:50:50.646930Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/dwax/will-a-member-of-the-straw-hat-crew","event_title":"Will a member of the Straw Hat crew die before they find the One Piece?","chart_24h":null}]}