{"source":"manifold","id":"K3nwF3jnFdEOWDXKc20Q","ticker":null,"slug":"will-argentina-adopt-bitcoin-as-its","title":"Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?","description":"[image](https://manifold.markets/embed/itsTomekK/what-country-will-be-next-to-make-b)---\n\n➡️ check my other Bitcoin market and Tomek's Specials!         😎 \n\nUpdate 2025-05-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified the conditions for a YES resolution:\n\nArgentina accepts Bitcoin as payment for its obligations or taxes.\n\nIf Argentina removes its definition of legal tender, making everything or some asset class including Bitcoin a legal tender, this will also resolve to YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-01-25T20:24:11.940000Z","end_date":"2030-12-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8341.086365736448,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.191282272338867,"liquidity":1190.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.308753,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?","top_outcome_probability":0.308753,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-26T22:54:03.887595Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T22:54:03.887595Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/itsTomekK/will-argentina-adopt-bitcoin-as-its","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"K3nwF3jnFdEOWDXKc20Q","event_id":"K3nwF3jnFdEOWDXKc20Q","slug":"will-argentina-adopt-bitcoin-as-its","question":"Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?","group_item_title":null,"description":"[image](https://manifold.markets/embed/itsTomekK/what-country-will-be-next-to-make-b)---\n\n➡️ check my other Bitcoin market and Tomek's Specials!         😎 \n\nUpdate 2025-05-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified the conditions for a YES resolution:\n\nArgentina accepts Bitcoin as payment for its obligations or taxes.\n\nIf Argentina removes its definition of legal tender, making everything or some asset class including Bitcoin a legal tender, this will also resolve to YES.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.308753,0.691247],"probability":0.308753,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-01-25T20:24:11.940000Z","end_date":"2030-12-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8341.086365736448,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.191282272338867,"liquidity":1190.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-28T23:06:37.068895Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T22:51:41.671741Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/itsTomekK/will-argentina-adopt-bitcoin-as-its","event_title":"Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/K3nwF3jnFdEOWDXKc20Q","as_of":"2026-09-08T23:02:27.867038Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?\" — top market at 31% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}