{"source":"manifold","id":"KFkjt2of1D5QeirThpYP","ticker":null,"slug":"will-elon-musk-declare-personal-ban","title":"Will Elon Musk declare personal bankruptcy before the end of 2027?","description":"As lifted from https://twitter.com/ncweaver/status/1586806390613344256","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FldOX-_rfOq.png?alt=media&token=448878df-21cf-4a65-9ba2-2eb94e1db8f2","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-10-31T13:54:48.441000Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13893.432454291791,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.69950485229492,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.076571,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Elon Musk declare personal bankruptcy before the end of 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.076571,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-08T05:52:20.589155Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T05:52:20.589155Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/jonjordanc3f0/will-elon-musk-declare-personal-ban","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"KFkjt2of1D5QeirThpYP","event_id":"KFkjt2of1D5QeirThpYP","slug":"will-elon-musk-declare-personal-ban","question":"Will Elon Musk declare personal bankruptcy before the end of 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"As lifted from https://twitter.com/ncweaver/status/1586806390613344256","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FldOX-_rfOq.png?alt=media&token=448878df-21cf-4a65-9ba2-2eb94e1db8f2","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.076571,0.923429],"probability":0.076571,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-10-31T13:54:48.441000Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13893.432454291791,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.69950485229492,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T02:42:34.265637Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T05:51:33.034875Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/jonjordanc3f0/will-elon-musk-declare-personal-ban","event_title":"Will Elon Musk declare personal bankruptcy before the end of 2027?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/KFkjt2of1D5QeirThpYP","as_of":"2026-09-08T18:37:07.894385Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Elon Musk declare personal bankruptcy before the end of 2027?\" — top market at 8% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}