{"source":"manifold","id":"KvDnTxp9VyTzMj4RzK8W","ticker":null,"slug":"is-attention-all-you-need","title":"Is Attention All You Need?","description":"This market will resolve according to the website below:\nhttps://www.isattentionallyouneed.com/\n\nProposition:\n\nOn January 1, 2027, a Transformer-like model will continue to hold the state-of-the-art position in most benchmarked tasks in natural language processing.\n\nFor the Motion\n\nJonathan Frankle\n@jefrankle\nHarvard Professor\nChief Scientist Mosaic ML\n\n[image]Against the Motion\n\nSasha Rush\n@srush_nlp\nCornell Professor\nResearch Scientist Hugging Face 🤗\n\n[image]Context\n\nComing soon\n\nSimilar market:\n\n(https://manifold.markets/embed/firstuserhere/on-january-1-2027-a-transformerlike-d56426e3f49e)","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-16T17:17:50.701000Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5411.560234028359,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.740516662597656,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.839686,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Is Attention All You Need?","top_outcome_probability":0.839686,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Sss19971997/is-attention-all-you-need","chart_24h":[0.839686,0.839686],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"KvDnTxp9VyTzMj4RzK8W","event_id":"KvDnTxp9VyTzMj4RzK8W","slug":"is-attention-all-you-need","question":"Is Attention All You Need?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve according to the website below:\nhttps://www.isattentionallyouneed.com/\n\nProposition:\n\nOn January 1, 2027, a Transformer-like model will continue to hold the state-of-the-art position in most benchmarked tasks in natural language processing.\n\nFor the Motion\n\nJonathan Frankle\n@jefrankle\nHarvard Professor\nChief Scientist Mosaic ML\n\n[image]Against the Motion\n\nSasha Rush\n@srush_nlp\nCornell Professor\nResearch Scientist Hugging Face 🤗\n\n[image]Context\n\nComing soon\n\nSimilar market:\n\n(https://manifold.markets/embed/firstuserhere/on-january-1-2027-a-transformerlike-d56426e3f49e)","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.839686,0.160314],"probability":0.839686,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-16T17:17:50.701000Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5411.560234028359,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.740516662597656,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T13:27:14.571814Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T00:19:32.415289Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Sss19971997/is-attention-all-you-need","event_title":"Is Attention All You Need?","chart_24h":[0.839686,0.839686]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/KvDnTxp9VyTzMj4RzK8W","as_of":"2026-06-10T19:12:17.587352Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Is Attention All You Need?\" — top market at 84% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}