{"source":"manifold","id":"L0SAgPdhh0","ticker":null,"slug":"will-a-video-made-entirely-with-ai","title":"Will a video made entirely with AI reach 100 million views on YouTube in 2026?","description":"Resolves YES if a YouTube video that is:\n\nfully generated by AI (script, narration/voice, visuals/animation),\n\nwithout human actors or live-action footage,\n\nand clearly disclosed as AI-generated by the creator or media,\nreaches 100 million total views at any time during 2026.\n\nIncludes content made with tools like Sora, Pika, Runway, Suno, ElevenLabs, etc.\n\nResolves NO if no such video hits 100M views before December 31, 2026.\n\nUpdate 2025-08-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - A video will NOT qualify if it is edited or assembled by a human, even if all of its individual components (e.g., visuals, script, audio) are AI-generated.\n\nUpdate 2025-08-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): YouTube Shorts are eligible and will count toward the 100 million view requirement.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-03T18:33:14.125000Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T20:56:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7181.519806193819,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.596710205078125,"liquidity":100.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology","Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.76,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will a video made entirely with AI reach 100 million views on YouTube in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.76,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/irilonto/will-a-video-made-entirely-with-ai","chart_24h":[0.76,0.76],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"L0SAgPdhh0","event_id":"L0SAgPdhh0","slug":"will-a-video-made-entirely-with-ai","question":"Will a video made entirely with AI reach 100 million views on YouTube in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves YES if a YouTube video that is:\n\nfully generated by AI (script, narration/voice, visuals/animation),\n\nwithout human actors or live-action footage,\n\nand clearly disclosed as AI-generated by the creator or media,\nreaches 100 million total views at any time during 2026.\n\nIncludes content made with tools like Sora, Pika, Runway, Suno, ElevenLabs, etc.\n\nResolves NO if no such video hits 100M views before December 31, 2026.\n\nUpdate 2025-08-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - A video will NOT qualify if it is edited or assembled by a human, even if all of its individual components (e.g., visuals, script, audio) are AI-generated.\n\nUpdate 2025-08-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): YouTube Shorts are eligible and will count toward the 100 million view requirement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.76,0.24],"probability":0.76,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-03T18:33:14.125000Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T20:56:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7181.519806193819,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.596710205078125,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Science and Technology","Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.281893Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/irilonto/will-a-video-made-entirely-with-ai","event_title":"Will a video made entirely with AI reach 100 million views on YouTube in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.76,0.76]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/L0SAgPdhh0","as_of":"2026-06-10T15:50:20.113407Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will a video made entirely with AI reach 100 million views on YouTube in 2026?\" — top market at 76% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}