{"source":"manifold","id":"L8ly9nrvCX1vjLcQvJq6","ticker":"L8ly9nrvCX1vjLcQvJq6","slug":"who-is-next-running-gaza-in-for-6-m","title":"After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?","description":"An International Peacekeeping force includes troops from the West and some other geopolitical area - eg China, Middle East or Africa.\n","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-02T18:19:01.351000Z","end_date":"2027-11-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":29098.805517843484,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.61122512817383,"liquidity":4545.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["World"],"tags":["arabisraeli-conflict","israelhamas-conflict-2023","israel"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Technocratic committee, not elected, internationally supervised","top_outcome_probability":0.323388,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-03T05:23:15.645331Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T05:23:15.645331Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/who-is-next-running-gaza-in-for-6-m","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"E5hQg8uqSd","event_id":"L8ly9nrvCX1vjLcQvJq6","slug":null,"question":"Technocratic committee, not elected, internationally supervised","group_item_title":"Technocratic committee, not elected, internationally supervised","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.323388,0.676612],"probability":0.323388,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-08T21:45:09.405000Z","end_date":"2027-11-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":792.6379711258528,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.713760375976562,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Israel","Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T14:55:28.662645Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T14:53:43.894541Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/who-is-next-running-gaza-in-for-6-m","event_title":"After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?","chart_24h":[0.323388,0.323388,0.323388,0.323388,0.323388,0.323388,0.323388,0.323388,0.323388,0.323388,0.323388,0.323388,0.323388,0.323388,0.323388,0.323388,0.323388]},{"source":"manifold","id":"d3cac2ec3f4c","event_id":"L8ly9nrvCX1vjLcQvJq6","slug":null,"question":"Israel","group_item_title":"Israel","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.282269,0.717731],"probability":0.282269,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-02T18:19:01.352000Z","end_date":"2027-11-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1794.454420315449,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.051008224487305,"liquidity":1106.25,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Israel","Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T14:55:28.662645Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T14:53:43.894541Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/who-is-next-running-gaza-in-for-6-m","event_title":"After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?","chart_24h":[0.282269,0.282269,0.282269,0.282269,0.282269,0.282269,0.282269,0.282269,0.282269,0.282269,0.282269,0.282269,0.282269,0.282269,0.282269,0.282269,0.282269]},{"source":"manifold","id":"b037995800ba","event_id":"L8ly9nrvCX1vjLcQvJq6","slug":null,"question":"Hamas","group_item_title":"Hamas","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.238801,0.761199],"probability":0.238801,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-02T18:19:01.352000Z","end_date":"2027-11-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":907.692259047041,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.398427963256836,"liquidity":486.25,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Israel","Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T14:55:28.662645Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T14:53:43.894541Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/who-is-next-running-gaza-in-for-6-m","event_title":"After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?","chart_24h":[0.238801,0.238801,0.238801,0.238801,0.238801,0.238801,0.238801,0.238801,0.238801,0.238801,0.238801,0.238801,0.238801,0.238801,0.238801,0.238801,0.238801]},{"source":"manifold","id":"42e13bb43d7f","event_id":"L8ly9nrvCX1vjLcQvJq6","slug":null,"question":"PLO","group_item_title":"PLO","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.054618,0.945382],"probability":0.054618,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-03T13:38:48.136000Z","end_date":"2027-11-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":268.608169822582,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.745346069335938,"liquidity":183.8913664486819,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Israel","Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T14:55:28.662645Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T14:53:43.894541Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/who-is-next-running-gaza-in-for-6-m","event_title":"After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?","chart_24h":[0.054618,0.054618,0.054618,0.054618,0.054618,0.054618,0.054618,0.054618,0.054618,0.054618,0.054618,0.054618,0.054618,0.054618,0.054618,0.054618,0.054618]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9c8fc0b54f9c","event_id":"L8ly9nrvCX1vjLcQvJq6","slug":null,"question":"International Peacekeeping Force","group_item_title":"International Peacekeeping Force","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.032881,0.967119],"probability":0.032881,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-02T18:19:01.352000Z","end_date":"2027-11-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":388.6765857416871,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.342185020446777,"liquidity":471.25,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Israel","Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T14:55:28.662645Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T14:53:43.894541Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/who-is-next-running-gaza-in-for-6-m","event_title":"After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?","chart_24h":[0.032881,0.032881,0.032881,0.032881,0.032881,0.032881,0.032881,0.032881,0.032881,0.032881,0.032881,0.032881,0.032881,0.032881,0.032881,0.032881,0.032881]},{"source":"manifold","id":"2370c2d86bce","event_id":"L8ly9nrvCX1vjLcQvJq6","slug":null,"question":"Other","group_item_title":"Other","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.02064,0.97936],"probability":0.02064,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-02T18:19:01.352000Z","end_date":"2027-11-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":426.72706832683315,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.762205123901367,"liquidity":203.86422359741425,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Israel","Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T14:55:28.662645Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T14:53:43.894541Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/who-is-next-running-gaza-in-for-6-m","event_title":"After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?","chart_24h":[0.02064,0.02064,0.02064,0.02064,0.02064,0.02064,0.02064,0.02064,0.02064,0.02064,0.02064,0.02064,0.02064,0.02064,0.02064,0.02064,0.02064]},{"source":"manifold","id":"I6usSI696L","event_id":"L8ly9nrvCX1vjLcQvJq6","slug":null,"question":"United States","group_item_title":"United States","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.011833,0.988167],"probability":0.011833,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-05T00:30:21.775000Z","end_date":"2027-11-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.18014027178287506,"liquidity":61.44000176823557,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Israel","Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T14:55:28.662645Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T14:53:43.894541Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/who-is-next-running-gaza-in-for-6-m","event_title":"After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?","chart_24h":[0.011833,0.011833,0.011833,0.011833,0.011833,0.011833,0.011833,0.011833,0.011833,0.011833,0.011833,0.011833,0.011833,0.011833,0.011833,0.011833,0.011833]},{"source":"manifold","id":"590a4732efb5","event_id":"L8ly9nrvCX1vjLcQvJq6","slug":null,"question":"Arab only Peacekeeping Force","group_item_title":"Arab only Peacekeeping Force","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.010271,0.989729],"probability":0.010271,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-02T18:20:14.713000Z","end_date":"2027-11-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":17.256712329938967,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.1630966663360596,"liquidity":20.3125,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Israel","Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T14:55:28.662645Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T14:53:43.894541Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/who-is-next-running-gaza-in-for-6-m","event_title":"After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?","chart_24h":[0.010271,0.010271,0.010271,0.010271,0.010271,0.010271,0.010271,0.010271,0.010271,0.010271,0.010271,0.010271,0.010271,0.010271,0.010271,0.010271,0.010271]},{"source":"manifold","id":"bab834ccffe8","event_id":"L8ly9nrvCX1vjLcQvJq6","slug":null,"question":"A new Gaza-elected government ","group_item_title":"A new Gaza-elected government ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.007315,0.992685],"probability":0.007315,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-20T07:30:22.768000Z","end_date":"2027-11-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2.4267981855239142,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.5687453150749207,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Israel","Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T14:55:28.662645Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T14:53:43.894541Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/who-is-next-running-gaza-in-for-6-m","event_title":"After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?","chart_24h":[0.007315,0.007315,0.007315,0.007315,0.007315,0.007315,0.007315,0.007315,0.007315,0.007315,0.007315,0.007315,0.007315,0.007315,0.007315,0.007315,0.007315]},{"source":"manifold","id":"tIZCn2ChtA","event_id":"L8ly9nrvCX1vjLcQvJq6","slug":null,"question":"Territorial rule by tribal clans","group_item_title":"Territorial rule by tribal clans","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.005081,0.994919],"probability":0.005081,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-04-17T03:41:55.243000Z","end_date":"2027-11-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":19.49714070703584,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.420234441757202,"liquidity":88.15602441578861,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Israel","Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T14:55:28.662645Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T14:53:43.894541Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/who-is-next-running-gaza-in-for-6-m","event_title":"After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?","chart_24h":[0.005081,0.005081,0.005081,0.005081,0.005081,0.005081,0.005081,0.005081,0.005081,0.005081,0.005081,0.005081,0.005081,0.005081,0.005081,0.005081,0.005081]},{"source":"manifold","id":"hE6PSApQn8","event_id":"L8ly9nrvCX1vjLcQvJq6","slug":null,"question":"Turkey","group_item_title":"Turkey","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.003941,0.996059],"probability":0.003941,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-08T18:20:37.582000Z","end_date":"2027-11-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":64.05625578766387,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.536200523376465,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Israel","Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T14:55:28.662645Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T14:53:43.894541Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/who-is-next-running-gaza-in-for-6-m","event_title":"After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?","chart_24h":[0.003941,0.003941,0.003941,0.003941,0.003941,0.003941,0.003941,0.003941,0.003941,0.003941,0.003941,0.003941,0.003941,0.003941,0.003941,0.003941,0.003941]},{"source":"manifold","id":"a14668740ad0","event_id":"L8ly9nrvCX1vjLcQvJq6","slug":null,"question":"Saudi Arabia","group_item_title":"Saudi Arabia","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0022,0.9978],"probability":0.0022,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-06T19:28:43.684000Z","end_date":"2027-11-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.994294763319516,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.45096465945243835,"liquidity":24.241054778294544,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Israel","Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T14:55:28.662645Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T14:53:43.894541Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/who-is-next-running-gaza-in-for-6-m","event_title":"After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?","chart_24h":[0.0022,0.0022,0.0022,0.0022,0.0022,0.0022,0.0022,0.0022,0.0022,0.0022,0.0022,0.0022,0.0022,0.0022,0.0022,0.0022,0.0022]},{"source":"manifold","id":"b5c743104530","event_id":"L8ly9nrvCX1vjLcQvJq6","slug":null,"question":"Qatar","group_item_title":"Qatar","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001671,0.998329],"probability":0.001671,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-06T19:22:19.939000Z","end_date":"2027-11-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.7205610871315002,"liquidity":22.902070579080156,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Israel","Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T14:55:28.662645Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T14:53:43.894541Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/who-is-next-running-gaza-in-for-6-m","event_title":"After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?","chart_24h":[0.001671,0.001671,0.001671,0.001671,0.001671,0.001671,0.001671,0.001671,0.001671,0.001671,0.001671,0.001671,0.001671,0.001671,0.001671,0.001671,0.001671]},{"source":"manifold","id":"76960f452cc7","event_id":"L8ly9nrvCX1vjLcQvJq6","slug":null,"question":"United Arab Emirates","group_item_title":"United Arab Emirates","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001644,0.998356],"probability":0.001644,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-06T19:22:10.362000Z","end_date":"2027-11-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.18014027178287506,"liquidity":21.095461774061036,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Israel","Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T14:55:28.662645Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T14:53:43.894541Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/who-is-next-running-gaza-in-for-6-m","event_title":"After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?","chart_24h":[0.001644,0.001644,0.001644,0.001644,0.001644,0.001644,0.001644,0.001644,0.001644,0.001644,0.001644,0.001644,0.001644,0.001644,0.001644,0.001644,0.001644]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8b0769ceb2cd","event_id":"L8ly9nrvCX1vjLcQvJq6","slug":null,"question":"Egypt","group_item_title":"Egypt","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001623,0.998377],"probability":0.001623,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-06T19:21:28.227000Z","end_date":"2027-11-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6.782939247181218,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.57865309715271,"liquidity":17.436821689228413,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Israel","Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T14:55:28.662645Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T14:53:43.894541Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/who-is-next-running-gaza-in-for-6-m","event_title":"After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?","chart_24h":[0.001623,0.001623,0.001623,0.001623,0.001623,0.001623,0.001623,0.001623,0.001623,0.001623,0.001623,0.001623,0.001623,0.001623,0.001623,0.001623,0.001623]},{"source":"manifold","id":"85b23d02b29e","event_id":"L8ly9nrvCX1vjLcQvJq6","slug":null,"question":"Jordan","group_item_title":"Jordan","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000632,0.999368],"probability":0.000632,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-06T19:23:09.006000Z","end_date":"2027-11-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":23.72072194502313,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Israel","Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T14:55:28.662645Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T14:53:43.894541Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/who-is-next-running-gaza-in-for-6-m","event_title":"After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?","chart_24h":[0.000632,0.000632,0.000632,0.000632,0.000632,0.000632,0.000632,0.000632,0.000632,0.000632,0.000632,0.000632,0.000632,0.000632,0.000632,0.000632,0.000632]},{"source":"manifold","id":"da7feb32d2d7","event_id":"L8ly9nrvCX1vjLcQvJq6","slug":null,"question":"Palestinian Islamic Jihad","group_item_title":"Palestinian Islamic Jihad","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.00051,0.99949],"probability":0.00051,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-06T19:31:20.080000Z","end_date":"2027-11-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3.7143529267276563,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.9015005230903625,"liquidity":22.4334997369707,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Israel","Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T14:55:28.662645Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T14:53:43.894541Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/who-is-next-running-gaza-in-for-6-m","event_title":"After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?","chart_24h":[0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051,0.00051]},{"source":"manifold","id":"d604a8c82987","event_id":"L8ly9nrvCX1vjLcQvJq6","slug":null,"question":"African Peacekeeping Force","group_item_title":"African Peacekeeping Force","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000361,0.999639],"probability":0.000361,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-02T18:20:48.433000Z","end_date":"2027-11-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":21.461033632796582,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Israel","Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T14:55:28.662645Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T14:53:43.894541Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/who-is-next-running-gaza-in-for-6-m","event_title":"After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?","chart_24h":[0.000361,0.000361,0.000361,0.000361,0.000361,0.000361,0.000361,0.000361,0.000361,0.000361,0.000361,0.000361,0.000361,0.000361,0.000361,0.000361,0.000361]},{"source":"manifold","id":"15e2af6587b4","event_id":"L8ly9nrvCX1vjLcQvJq6","slug":null,"question":"PLA","group_item_title":"PLA","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000322,0.999678],"probability":0.000322,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-02T18:19:01.352000Z","end_date":"2027-11-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":31.25,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Israel","Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-08-02T14:55:28.662645Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-02T14:53:43.894541Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/who-is-next-running-gaza-in-for-6-m","event_title":"After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?","chart_24h":[0.000322,0.000322,0.000322,0.000322,0.000322,0.000322,0.000322,0.000322,0.000322,0.000322,0.000322,0.000322,0.000322,0.000322,0.000322,0.000322,0.000322]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/L8ly9nrvCX1vjLcQvJq6","as_of":"2026-08-02T14:58:02.230511Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?\" — top market at 32% probability across 19 outcomes","source_url":null}}