{"source":"manifold","id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","ticker":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":"who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","description":"This market uses the new Unlinked Multiple Choice format. The probabilites of each answer are independent of the other answers. Individual answers can resolve early, while the market as a whole remains open.\n\nAny person who appears in Wikipedia's \"major candidates\" section, at any time, for the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries will resolve YES. The criteria here are:\n\nThe candidates in this section have declared their candidacies and meet one or more of the following criteria: campaign has received substantial major media coverage; current or previous holder of significant elected office (president, vice president, governor, U.S. senator, U.S. representative); have been included in at least five national polls.\n\nIf Wikipedia changes the structure of the page for the 2028 primaries, I will fall back to the criteria \"any declared candidate with a wikipedia page\".\n\nWhen the primaries have concluded, all other options will resolve NO.\n\nSee also: @/DanMan314/who-will-run-for-the-republican-pre ","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-10T15:00:21.148000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":39102.21178321853,"volume_24hr":190.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.613788604736328,"normalized_volume":41.406734466552734,"liquidity":5900.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":["us-politics","2024-us-presidential-election","politics-default","2028-us-presidential-election"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Gavin Newsom","top_outcome_probability":0.896842,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.03481699999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":60.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-09T00:22:31.715963Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T00:22:31.715963Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","chart_24h":[60.0,160.0,190.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"e13380b58030","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Gavin Newsom","group_item_title":"Gavin Newsom","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.896842,0.103158],"probability":0.896842,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-10T15:00:21.148000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1279.4919432034942,"volume_24hr":60.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03481699999999999,"volume_24h_change":60.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.240504264831543,"normalized_volume":18.95897674560547,"liquidity":225.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:45.187746Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.862025,0.862025,0.862025,0.862025,0.862025,0.862025,0.862025,0.862025,0.862025,0.862025,0.862025,0.862025,0.862025,0.862025,0.862025,0.862025,0.862025,0.862025,0.862025,0.862025,0.862025,0.862025,0.896842,0.896842,0.896842,0.896842,0.896842,0.896842,0.896842,0.896842,0.896842]},{"source":"manifold","id":"04ea6311dc65","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Pete Buttigieg","group_item_title":"Pete Buttigieg","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.28],"probability":0.72,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-10T15:00:21.148000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":329.9490533316663,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.2623066902160645,"normalized_volume":12.466535568237305,"liquidity":145.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:45.187746Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Lyu8Ozy2zU","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Rahm Emanuel","group_item_title":"Rahm Emanuel","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.617695,0.382305],"probability":0.617695,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-26T22:22:50.520000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":256.97250000088013,"volume_24hr":9.999999999999972,"prob_24h_change":-0.061846999999999985,"volume_24h_change":9.999999999999972,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.505019187927246,"normalized_volume":11.418998718261719,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:45.187746Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.679542,0.617695,0.617695,0.617695]},{"source":"manifold","id":"391ac1d4105b","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez","group_item_title":"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.574111,0.425889],"probability":0.574111,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-18T09:05:26.933000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1136.6881813296995,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":0.029511000000000065,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.505019187927246,"normalized_volume":18.337509155273438,"liquidity":165.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:45.187746Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.5446,0.5446,0.5446,0.5446,0.5446,0.5446,0.5446,0.5446,0.5446,0.5446,0.5446,0.5446,0.5446,0.5446,0.5446,0.5446,0.5446,0.5446,0.5446,0.5446,0.5446,0.5446,0.5446,0.574111,0.574111,0.574111,0.574111,0.574111,0.574111,0.574111,0.574111]},{"source":"manifold","id":"UNtU2nqSdg","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Don Lemon","group_item_title":"Don Lemon","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.273998,0.726002],"probability":0.273998,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-31T14:03:22.734000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":150.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.025932999999999984,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.505019187927246,"normalized_volume":9.322498321533203,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:45.187746Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.299931,0.299931,0.299931,0.299931,0.299931,0.299931,0.299931,0.299931,0.299931,0.299931,0.299931,0.299931,0.299931,0.299931,0.299931,0.299931,0.299931,0.299931,0.299931,0.299931,0.299931,0.299931,0.299931,0.273998,0.273998,0.273998,0.273998,0.273998,0.273998,0.273998,0.273998]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5e6d4e982db9","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Jared Polis","group_item_title":"Jared Polis","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.21053,0.78947],"probability":0.21053,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-10T15:52:44.891000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":752.4637657842995,"volume_24hr":50.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.067307,"volume_24h_change":50.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.112247467041016,"normalized_volume":16.252702713012695,"liquidity":145.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:45.187746Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.277837,0.277837,0.277837,0.277837,0.277837,0.277837,0.277837,0.277837,0.277837,0.277837,0.277837,0.277837,0.277837,0.277837,0.277837,0.277837,0.277837,0.277837,0.277837,0.277837,0.277837,0.277837,0.277837,0.21053,0.21053,0.21053,0.21053,0.21053,0.21053,0.21053,0.21053]},{"source":"manifold","id":"6Z6QzdOUtg","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"John Fetterman","group_item_title":"John Fetterman","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.134514,0.865486],"probability":0.134514,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-03-02T03:08:48.989000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":123.26318134531684,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.009644000000000014,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.505019187927246,"normalized_volume":8.61236572265625,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:45.187746Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.144158,0.144158,0.144158,0.144158,0.144158,0.144158,0.144158,0.144158,0.144158,0.144158,0.144158,0.144158,0.144158,0.144158,0.144158,0.144158,0.144158,0.144158,0.144158,0.144158,0.144158,0.144158,0.144158,0.134514,0.134514,0.134514,0.134514,0.134514,0.134514,0.134514,0.134514]},{"source":"manifold","id":"EPRuNl8Iqq","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Amy Klobuchar","group_item_title":"Amy Klobuchar","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.088344,0.911656],"probability":0.088344,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-10T18:55:08.049000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":266.5845332439464,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010917999999999997,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.2623066902160645,"normalized_volume":11.569952011108398,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:45.187746Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.099262,0.088344,0.088344,0.088344]},{"source":"manifold","id":"bac1d609c42a","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Ro Khanna","group_item_title":"Ro Khanna","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.855358,0.144642],"probability":0.855358,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-02-16T19:04:05.583000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":363.2822520138574,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.882339477539062,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358,0.855358]},{"source":"manifold","id":"02a44b2bed42","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Josh Shapiro","group_item_title":"Josh Shapiro","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.816942,0.183058],"probability":0.816942,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-10T15:13:06.347000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":704.9519442040106,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.934680938720703,"liquidity":165.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942,0.816942]},{"source":"manifold","id":"bb8c97d0c548","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Andy Beshear","group_item_title":"Andy Beshear","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.708736,0.291264],"probability":0.708736,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-02-16T19:04:50.805000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":381.0962490790577,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.091748237609863,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736,0.708736]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ddyy5cg50P","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Jon Ossoff","group_item_title":"Jon Ossoff","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.678381,0.321619],"probability":0.678381,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-10T18:52:53.795000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":268.7147379771269,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.602802276611328,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381,0.678381]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5cbadbdd7106","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"JB Pritzker ","group_item_title":"JB Pritzker ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.66758,0.33242],"probability":0.66758,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-18T23:15:13.044000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":320.3478617637252,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.340341567993164,"liquidity":125.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758,0.66758]},{"source":"manifold","id":"CQzc2d9NIE","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Mark Kelly","group_item_title":"Mark Kelly","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.588752,0.411248],"probability":0.588752,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-10T18:54:43.372000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1324.1515968717758,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.14109230041504,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752,0.588752]},{"source":"manifold","id":"c94fc5bc3f21","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Wes Moore","group_item_title":"Wes Moore","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.51847,0.48153],"probability":0.51847,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-02-16T19:03:22.173000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":467.8037281754641,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.007863998413086,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847,0.51847]},{"source":"manifold","id":"88726c2921e0","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Kamala Harris","group_item_title":"Kamala Harris","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.509461,0.490539],"probability":0.509461,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-10T15:00:21.148000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1072.0263976043227,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.03380012512207,"liquidity":185.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461,0.509461]},{"source":"manifold","id":"547152815d1d","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Cory Booker","group_item_title":"Cory Booker","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.508999,0.491001],"probability":0.508999,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-12-24T02:00:12.814000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":365.6837192585354,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.911059379577637,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999,0.508999]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9b86fd533b32","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Chris Murphy","group_item_title":"Chris Murphy","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.47251,0.52749],"probability":0.47251,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-02-16T19:04:38.839000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":79.0726181629631,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.114191055297852,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251,0.47251]},{"source":"manifold","id":"7dd15290bd21","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Gretchen Whitmer","group_item_title":"Gretchen Whitmer","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.424004,0.575996],"probability":0.424004,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-10T15:00:21.148000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":957.6009396298566,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.4556827545166,"liquidity":165.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004,0.424004]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8uuzOyt6zg","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Marianne Williamson","group_item_title":"Marianne Williamson","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.378242,0.621758],"probability":0.378242,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-15T17:42:10.948000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":113.9415557418449,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.33609390258789,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242,0.378242]},{"source":"manifold","id":"n6AqsssOAL","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Ruben Gallego","group_item_title":"Ruben Gallego","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.327557,0.672443],"probability":0.327557,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-10T18:53:33.358000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":142.92285404794836,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.144967079162598,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557,0.327557]},{"source":"manifold","id":"04767be3aa7f","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Raphael Warnock","group_item_title":"Raphael Warnock","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.272839,0.727161],"probability":0.272839,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-10T15:00:21.148000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":145.09119718869334,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.200088500976562,"liquidity":145.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839,0.272839]},{"source":"manifold","id":"AlRhhZh0I5","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Chris Van Hollen","group_item_title":"Chris Van Hollen","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.259162,0.740838],"probability":0.259162,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-04-18T01:37:31.015000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":105.61998479639661,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.074094772338867,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162,0.259162]},{"source":"manifold","id":"A2dRqA9ZCz","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Josh Stein","group_item_title":"Josh Stein","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.192215,0.807785],"probability":0.192215,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-10T18:50:53.206000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.931185722351074,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215,0.192215]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5370a77d5f85","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Dean Phillips","group_item_title":"Dean Phillips","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.190084,0.809916],"probability":0.190084,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-27T15:18:45.335000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.888947600835685,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.166328430175781,"liquidity":105.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084,0.190084]},{"source":"manifold","id":"thQzQShnQh","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Jamie Raskin","group_item_title":"Jamie Raskin","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.188508,0.811492],"probability":0.188508,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-10T18:56:29.260000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":61.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.308017253875732,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508,0.188508]},{"source":"manifold","id":"149f3649ca27","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Gina Raimondo","group_item_title":"Gina Raimondo","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.182195,0.817805],"probability":0.182195,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-02-16T19:04:21.346000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195,0.182195]},{"source":"manifold","id":"6826c9ad489b","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Roy Cooper","group_item_title":"Roy Cooper","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.167857,0.832143],"probability":0.167857,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-19T04:51:02.713000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5.85,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.3712544441223145,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857,0.167857]},{"source":"manifold","id":"E2OlApqcIg","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Tammy Duckworth","group_item_title":"Tammy Duckworth","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.157794,0.842206],"probability":0.157794,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-10T18:54:01.821000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16.027543736353522,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.9761197566986084,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794,0.157794]},{"source":"manifold","id":"s56NsAnnhO","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Stacey Abrams","group_item_title":"Stacey Abrams","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.133289,0.866711],"probability":0.133289,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-10T18:55:28.246000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":260.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.467035293579102,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289,0.133289]},{"source":"manifold","id":"dCOZn6ZudU","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Tim Walz","group_item_title":"Tim Walz","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.119876,0.880124],"probability":0.119876,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-03-18T22:41:11.205000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":837.457663495239,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.7813777923584,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876,0.119876]},{"source":"manifold","id":"chRsnylsLZ","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"George Clooney","group_item_title":"George Clooney","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.118451,0.881549],"probability":0.118451,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-02T23:35:45.760000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":277.19395907260673,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.731485366821289,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451,0.118451]},{"source":"manifold","id":"2S9PgsOQlS","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Stephen A. Smith","group_item_title":"Stephen A. Smith","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.108098,0.891902],"probability":0.108098,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-30T19:30:25.578000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":553.7465709608907,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.78513240814209,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098,0.108098]},{"source":"manifold","id":"cbc62f055ce6","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Jay Inslee","group_item_title":"Jay Inslee","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.100445,0.899555],"probability":0.100445,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-19T04:50:12.371000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":80.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.1516218185424805,"liquidity":105.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445,0.100445]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Cu0c0y0QIQ","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Katie Porter","group_item_title":"Katie Porter","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.061074,0.938926],"probability":0.061074,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-10T18:51:05.204000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":112.21620606449244,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.28303050994873,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074,0.061074]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0OUzySIPgu","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Angus King Jr.","group_item_title":"Angus King Jr.","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.053648,0.946352],"probability":0.053648,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-06-22T03:39:02.428000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":120.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.517577171325684,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648,0.053648]},{"source":"manifold","id":"e1e9c7596d31","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Elizabeth Warren","group_item_title":"Elizabeth Warren","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.053437,0.946563],"probability":0.053437,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-18T02:09:07.856000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":189.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.19581127166748,"liquidity":125.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437,0.053437]},{"source":"manifold","id":"2LO2OSqCNu","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Andrew Cuomo","group_item_title":"Andrew Cuomo","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.051478,0.948522],"probability":0.051478,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-27T20:26:16.539000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":127.41137914868142,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.730052947998047,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478,0.051478]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9926083224e5","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Bernie Sanders","group_item_title":"Bernie Sanders","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.033585,0.966415],"probability":0.033585,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-18T02:08:57.799000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":153.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.39574909210205,"liquidity":125.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585,0.033585]},{"source":"manifold","id":"gSUy8ScnLh","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Tim Kaine","group_item_title":"Tim Kaine","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.029566,0.970434],"probability":0.029566,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-10T18:52:10.374000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":429.08745355939425,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.617971420288086,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566,0.029566]},{"source":"manifold","id":"t9ZzR9dnds","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Ezra Klein","group_item_title":"Ezra Klein","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.028588,0.971412],"probability":0.028588,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-01T14:32:41.961000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":719.9784809378918,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.03717613220215,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588,0.028588]},{"source":"manifold","id":"914f5b07b8bd","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Michelle Obama","group_item_title":"Michelle Obama","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.0269,0.9731],"probability":0.0269,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-17T08:43:51.141000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":411.2234441324475,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.42809772491455,"liquidity":165.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269,0.0269]},{"source":"manifold","id":"cUZI6gRgCO","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Kat Abughazaleh","group_item_title":"Kat Abughazaleh","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.019592,0.980408],"probability":0.019592,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-21T21:11:23.878000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1339.6933388454229,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.203231811523438,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592,0.019592]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5lQps8IEdN","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Zohran Mamdani","group_item_title":"Zohran Mamdani","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.01041,0.98959],"probability":0.01041,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-30T20:40:28.596000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041,0.01041]},{"source":"manifold","id":"7fcf76fea6dc","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Joe Biden","group_item_title":"Joe Biden","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-10T15:00:21.148000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":105.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"manifold","id":"e8e62c34a4da","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Hillary Clinton","group_item_title":"Hillary Clinton","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-19T04:52:32.948000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":171.56648331165877,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.825216293334961,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"manifold","id":"vqrorclb2n","event_id":"LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","slug":null,"question":"Chuck Norris","group_item_title":"Chuck Norris","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-10T21:26:17.012000Z","end_date":"2028-06-17T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":33.849394914295246,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.669880390167236,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:20:47.896518Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:19:39.148063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-pre","event_title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/LMOer48txjhMRhCRmnPG","as_of":"2026-09-09T02:26:09.555274Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?\" — top market at 90% probability across 47 outcomes","source_url":null}}