{"source":"manifold","id":"LlIAdCL0CO","ticker":null,"slug":"will-joe-biden-outlive-the-trump-pr","title":"Will Joe Biden outlive the Trump Presidency?","description":"Resolution Criteria\n\nThis market will resolve to YES if:\n\nJoe Biden is still alive when Donald Trump's current presidential term ends (normally January 20, 2029), or if Trump's presidency ends earlier for any reason (resignation, removal from office, death) and Biden is still alive at that time.\n\nThe market will resolve to NO if:\n\nJoe Biden dies before Trump's presidency concludes.\n\nMarket will continue in the event of a Trump presidency continuing beyond January 20th 2029, until one of the conditions are met.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FIKluem97QE.jpeg?alt=media&token=d6d0a8aa-489f-4032-aefb-4e702f22537e","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-28T09:56:37.414000Z","end_date":"2029-01-20T13:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4921.733252906542,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.132835388183594,"liquidity":100.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.783242,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Joe Biden outlive the Trump Presidency?","top_outcome_probability":0.783242,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-04T07:39:23.489061Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T07:39:23.489061Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/GamblingGamer/will-joe-biden-outlive-the-trump-pr","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"LlIAdCL0CO","event_id":"LlIAdCL0CO","slug":"will-joe-biden-outlive-the-trump-pr","question":"Will Joe Biden outlive the Trump Presidency?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolution Criteria\n\nThis market will resolve to YES if:\n\nJoe Biden is still alive when Donald Trump's current presidential term ends (normally January 20, 2029), or if Trump's presidency ends earlier for any reason (resignation, removal from office, death) and Biden is still alive at that time.\n\nThe market will resolve to NO if:\n\nJoe Biden dies before Trump's presidency concludes.\n\nMarket will continue in the event of a Trump presidency continuing beyond January 20th 2029, until one of the conditions are met.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FIKluem97QE.jpeg?alt=media&token=d6d0a8aa-489f-4032-aefb-4e702f22537e","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.783242,0.216758],"probability":0.783242,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-28T09:56:37.414000Z","end_date":"2029-01-20T13:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4921.733252906542,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.132835388183594,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:08:34.396174Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T07:38:41.883033Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/GamblingGamer/will-joe-biden-outlive-the-trump-pr","event_title":"Will Joe Biden outlive the Trump Presidency?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/LlIAdCL0CO","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:33:58.772733Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Joe Biden outlive the Trump Presidency?\" — top market at 78% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}