{"source":"manifold","id":"MlVzg4pVVFq7uK5X1FN8","ticker":null,"slug":"will-putin-outlive-biden","title":"Will Putin outlive Biden?","description":"Resolves YES if Biden dies first\nResolves NO if Putin dies first","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-06-28T16:00:18.667000Z","end_date":"2051-01-01T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14819.5544829685,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":34.62378692626953,"liquidity":1610.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.869132,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Putin outlive Biden?","top_outcome_probability":0.869132,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-08T14:10:40.491110Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T14:10:40.491110Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JonathanRay/will-putin-outlive-biden","chart_24h":[0.869132,0.869132],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"MlVzg4pVVFq7uK5X1FN8","event_id":"MlVzg4pVVFq7uK5X1FN8","slug":"will-putin-outlive-biden","question":"Will Putin outlive Biden?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves YES if Biden dies first\nResolves NO if Putin dies first","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.869132,0.130868],"probability":0.869132,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-06-28T16:00:18.667000Z","end_date":"2051-01-01T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14819.5544829685,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":34.62378692626953,"liquidity":1610.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T15:18:46.511111Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T14:08:39.730420Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JonathanRay/will-putin-outlive-biden","event_title":"Will Putin outlive Biden?","chart_24h":[0.869132,0.869132]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/MlVzg4pVVFq7uK5X1FN8","as_of":"2026-06-10T13:13:41.424176Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Putin outlive Biden?\" — top market at 87% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}