{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/MxEzfaVPBxjdK5vffnOi","as_of":"2026-11-14T01:11:14.602999Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?\" — 76% as of 2026-10-06 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/MxEzfaVPBxjdK5vffnOi","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/Symmetry/will-the-afd-assume-governmental-re"},"source":"manifold","id":"MxEzfaVPBxjdK5vffnOi","ticker":null,"slug":"will-the-afd-assume-governmental-re","title":"Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?","description":"Will resolve YES if the AfD (Alternative for Germany) enters any federal or state government by the year 2030. \n\nExtensive polling data here: Neueste Wahlumfragen und Umfragewerte | DAWUM\n\n\nRelated market:\n\n(https://manifold.markets/embed/Symmetry/will-the-afd-still-exist-by-the-yea)","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-18T12:37:57.453000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":19941.704587379147,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.0079460144043,"liquidity":1024.5,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.763499,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?","top_outcome_probability":0.763499,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-06T21:59:54.948354Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T21:59:54.948354Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Symmetry/will-the-afd-assume-governmental-re","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"MxEzfaVPBxjdK5vffnOi","event_id":"MxEzfaVPBxjdK5vffnOi","slug":"will-the-afd-assume-governmental-re","question":"Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Will resolve YES if the AfD (Alternative for Germany) enters any federal or state government by the year 2030. \n\nExtensive polling data here: Neueste Wahlumfragen und Umfragewerte | DAWUM\n\n\nRelated market:\n\n(https://manifold.markets/embed/Symmetry/will-the-afd-still-exist-by-the-yea)","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.763499,0.236501],"probability":0.763499,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-18T12:37:57.453000Z","end_date":"2030-01-01T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":19941.704587379147,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.0079460144043,"liquidity":1024.5,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T21:58:31.539862Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T21:58:31.539862Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Symmetry/will-the-afd-assume-governmental-re","event_title":"Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?","chart_24h":null}]}