{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/NAzcszytCs","as_of":"2026-10-24T11:36:51.188562Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Trump/Elon actually decrease deficit spending by more than 1T?\" — 2% as of 2026-10-15 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/NAzcszytCs","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/TommyMorriss/will-trumpelon-actually-decrease-de"},"source":"manifold","id":"NAzcszytCs","ticker":null,"slug":"will-trumpelon-actually-decrease-de","title":"Will Trump/Elon actually decrease deficit spending by more than 1T?","description":"According to https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide, we spend 6.75T per year, up 10% from last year. We take in as taxes 4.92T as tax revenue. \n\nElon musk has said that he wants to cut the govt spending by \"at least 2t\" https://thehill.com/business/4966789-elon-musk-skepticism-2-trillion-spending-cuts/, https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/elon-musk-claims-he-can-cut-2-trillion-from-us-budget-at-donald-trump-rally/articleshow/114672947.cms?from=mdr .\n\n\"The amount by which spending exceeded revenue, $1.83 trillion in 2024, is referred to as deficit spending.\"\n\nResolution: By the end of Trump's term, will the quoted number on fiscaldata.treasury.gov for deficit spending be less than 0.83T","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/TommyMorriss/llgLOhugSN.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-06T16:45:42.919000Z","end_date":"2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":56895.337128970066,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":44.09339904785156,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.015726,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Trump/Elon actually decrease deficit spending by more than 1T?","top_outcome_probability":0.015726,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-15T16:06:49.397546Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T16:06:49.397546Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/TommyMorriss/will-trumpelon-actually-decrease-de","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"NAzcszytCs","event_id":"NAzcszytCs","slug":"will-trumpelon-actually-decrease-de","question":"Will Trump/Elon actually decrease deficit spending by more than 1T?","group_item_title":null,"description":"According to https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide, we spend 6.75T per year, up 10% from last year. We take in as taxes 4.92T as tax revenue. \n\nElon musk has said that he wants to cut the govt spending by \"at least 2t\" https://thehill.com/business/4966789-elon-musk-skepticism-2-trillion-spending-cuts/, https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/elon-musk-claims-he-can-cut-2-trillion-from-us-budget-at-donald-trump-rally/articleshow/114672947.cms?from=mdr .\n\n\"The amount by which spending exceeded revenue, $1.83 trillion in 2024, is referred to as deficit spending.\"\n\nResolution: By the end of Trump's term, will the quoted number on fiscaldata.treasury.gov for deficit spending be less than 0.83T","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/TommyMorriss/llgLOhugSN.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.015726,0.984274],"probability":0.015726,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-06T16:45:42.919000Z","end_date":"2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":56895.337128970066,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":44.09339904785156,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-15T16:04:14.673852Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-15T16:04:14.673852Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/TommyMorriss/will-trumpelon-actually-decrease-de","event_title":"Will Trump/Elon actually decrease deficit spending by more than 1T?","chart_24h":null}]}