{"source":"manifold","id":"NSj6qSxTtD4ke0BPQoNz","ticker":null,"slug":"will-mitch-mcconnell-resign-or-die","title":"Will Mitch McConnell resign or die before the end of his term in 2027?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-07-27T19:24:07.270000Z","end_date":"2027-01-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":32974.76071345673,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":40.082698822021484,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.270821,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Mitch McConnell resign or die before the end of his term in 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.270821,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-05T05:16:46.820591Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-05T05:16:46.820591Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T21:38:07.453180Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/GiacomoT/will-mitch-mcconnell-resign-or-die","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"NSj6qSxTtD4ke0BPQoNz","event_id":"NSj6qSxTtD4ke0BPQoNz","slug":"will-mitch-mcconnell-resign-or-die","question":"Will Mitch McConnell resign or die before the end of his term in 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.270821,0.729179],"probability":0.270821,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-07-27T19:24:07.270000Z","end_date":"2027-01-05T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":32974.76071345673,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":40.082698822021484,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-05T05:14:39.128385Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-05T05:14:39.128385Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T21:38:07.453180Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/GiacomoT/will-mitch-mcconnell-resign-or-die","event_title":"Will Mitch McConnell resign or die before the end of his term in 2027?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/NSj6qSxTtD4ke0BPQoNz","as_of":"2026-09-08T21:56:26.728980Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Mitch McConnell resign or die before the end of his term in 2027?\" — top market at 27% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}